Market Analysis and Strategy Today (2026.2.12)📊

1. Core Market Judgment

- Trend Qualitative: The downtrend is complete, and the characteristics of a bear market are prominent. A rebound is a good opportunity for shorting, not a trend reversal signal.

- Sentiment Review: Bitcoin dropped from 126,000 to 60,000 in just 4 months, but it took a lot of effort and emotional energy to rise back from 60,000 to 126,000. At this point, still clinging to high hopes of 200,000-500,000 is undoubtedly a contrarian gamble.

- Yesterday’s Validation: Non-farm payroll data met expectations. The market initially rose then fell. Shorting around 68,600 earned 3,000 points profit, once again confirming the effectiveness of “buy the dip, then short.”

2. Today’s Trading Strategy

Bitcoin (BTC)

- Short Entry Zone: Lightly short on rebounds to around 67,500. If it reaches 70,000, add to the position.

- Target Zone: Maintain the lower target at 65,600-63,800.

- Core Logic: In the afternoon, buying momentum is weak, and the market remains in a bearish atmosphere. The best entry points are not at the bottom. In a bear market, choosing sides is more important than predictions.

Ethereum (ETH)

- Short Entry Zone: Follow short positions in the 1,980-2,000 range.

- Target Zone: Look for 1,850-1,760 below.

- Core Logic: The 2,000 level is unstable, lacking a solid foundation for a strong rebound. Following Bitcoin’s bearish trend is a safer choice.