Gate 2025 Year-End Community Gala Technical Outlook ETH: Recovery Structure Forms After Deep Correction Phase

Ethereum remains within a broader correction structure after being strongly rejected from the macro supply zone of $4,450–$4,950 (0.786–1 Fib). This rejection marks a distribution peak, followed by a sharp downtrend into the macro demand zone of $2,620.

Recent price action shows ETH bouncing from the long-term demand zone, forming a rounded bottom with higher lows. The upward momentum has improved, although the larger timeframe trend has not yet fully shifted to bullish.

EMA Structure (Bearish Bias, Short-term Uptrend Improving)

EMA 20: 3,188
EMA 50: 3,165
EMA 100: 3,290
EMA 200: 3,338

ETH has reclaimed the EMA 20 & 50, signaling a short-term bullish momentum. However, the price remains below EMA 100 & 200, keeping the medium- to long-term structure still corrective.

The $3,290–$3,340 zone represents a strong dynamic resistance cluster, where selling pressure is likely to increase.

Fibonacci & Price Structure

1 Fib: 4,956
0.786 Fib: 4,457