Chainlink price today (LINK/USDT): ongoing rebound but the underlying trend remains fragile

In a moderately risk-on crypto market environment, Chainlink price today (LINK/USDT) is moving within a delicate technical area, between a credible rebound and still fragile underlying trend.

Chainlink price today (LINK/USDT): 13.95 USDT

Today, Chainlink is operating in an uncomfortable zone: strong enough to suggest a credible bounce, but too weak to say that the long-term downtrend is truly behind. The macro crypto context is supportive, with total market cap increasing and volatility rising, but LINK remains below its 200-day moving average, still under the “long-term trend line.”

The basic daily picture (D1) is slightly bullish in the short term but embedded in a still corrective medium-term structure. Essentially, the market is trying to push higher, but doing so counter to the dominant trend of recent months.

LINK/USDT — daily chart with candlesticks, EMA20/EMA50, and volume.

Main bias on D1: bullish rebound within a still weak trend

Starting from the daily timeframe, which gives us the overall direction:

D1 Price of Chainlink today: 13.95 USDT

D1 Regime: neutral

Although the model classifies it as “neutral,” the asset is trading above short-term averages and below the long-term one. It’s typical of an asset bouncing back after a period of weakness. Until it stabilizes above the 200-day, it’s premature to talk about a structural bull market.

EMA (20, 50, 200) – rebound, but the 200-day remains the barrier

D1 Data:

Price: 13.95

EMA 20: 13.26

EMA 50: 13.54

EMA 200: 15.83

What it means: LINK is trading above the 20 and 50-day EMAs but still well below the 200. The market favors the short term, with a rebound underway, but has not yet reversed the structural picture. In other words, the flow is clear: short-term traders buy the lows, while medium- and long-term investors are not yet fully convinced.

Daily RSI – moderate strength, no euphoria

D1 Data: RSI 14 at 59.93.

What it means: RSI is moving in the high neutral zone, near the strength threshold but still far from overbought zones. The market is accumulating bullish pressure but is not in full FOMO. Consequently, there is room for the movement to continue without necessarily requiring an immediate correction.

Daily MACD – strengthening bullish momentum, but not explosive

D1 Data:

MACD line: 0.18

Signal: 0.07

Histogram: 0.10 (positive)

What it means: MACD is in positive territory with a green histogram, indicating that momentum favors buyers. The signal is not extreme; it’s more of a “healthy bullish trend but not parabolic.” This is typical of grind-up phases, with progressive rises but not vertical.

D1 Bollinger Bands – price near the upper part of the range

D1 Data:

Mid band: 13.09

Upper band: 14.29

Lower band: 11.90

Price: 13.95

What it means: LINK is trading near the upper band, within but in the high part of the channel. Usually, profit-taking occurs here from those who bought lower, but as long as the price remains near the high zone, the message is simple: operational control remains in the hands of buyers.

Daily ATR – contained volatility, room to expand

D1 Data: ATR 14 at 0.56.

What it means: The average daily volatility is moderate relative to the price around 14 USDT. We are not in a panic or euphoria phase. However, a directional acceleration can quickly widen the range. Those trading with significant size should keep in mind that a 3–4% daily move is normal for this asset in this phase.

Daily Pivot – 14 area as intraday dividing line

D1 Data:

Pivot point (PP): 14.03

R1 Resistance: 14.12

S1 Support: 13.86

What it means: Today, (13.95), the price is just below the daily pivot at 14.03. The 14–14.10 area is the intraday dividing line. Above, the market signals a confirmation of the rebound; below, the idea of consolidation or profit-taking prevails over a breakout.

H1: momentum still bullish but in a breathing phase

On the hourly timeframe (H1), the model classifies the regime as bullish. Here, the story is of a short-term bullish trend that is beginning to slow down and breathe, without having reversed yet.

EMA H1 – short-term trend still positive

H1 Data:

Price: 13.94

EMA 20: 13.90

EMA 50: 13.64

EMA 200: 13.38

What it means: The price is above all main hourly EMAs, with a structure sloping upward, i.e., 200 < 50 < 20 < price. This is a classic asset in a short-term bullish trend. Traders on the daily timeframe find this H1 supportive, not opposing.

H1 RSI – strength without excessive exhaustion

H1 Data: RSI 14 at 58.01.

What it means: Also here, RSI is in the high zone but not extreme. The short-term trend still has room, but any further upward move without pauses will increase the risk of more aggressive pullbacks.

H1 MACD – initial cooling signal

H1 Data:

MACD line: 0.16

Signal: 0.19

Histogram: -0.03 (slightly negative)

What it means: In the short term, momentum is starting to lose some of its push. The slightly negative histogram often anticipates lateral consolidation phases or small corrections rather than deep reversals. It’s a slowdown signal, not a trend change.

H1 Bollinger Bands – price centered, market in balance

H1 Data:

Mid band: 13.94

Upper band: 14.32

Lower band: 13.57

Price: 13.94 (slightly below the just-touched lower band)

What it means: The price is near the middle band. After moving upward, LINK is now stabilizing its push, with the market seeking a new equilibrium before deciding the next impulsive direction.

H1 ATR – manageable intraday volatility

H1 Data: ATR 14 at 0.14.

What it means: The average range per hourly candle is limited, indicating a relatively orderly order book. Sudden moves are always possible; however, micro-adjustments dominate in this phase rather than sharp movements.

H1 Pivot – very tight micro-range

H1 Data:

Pivot point (PP): 13.97

R1: 13.99

S1: 13.91

What it means: The price at 13.94 is stuck in a micro-range between 13.91 and 13.99. This compression phase usually doesn’t last long. A decisive breakout of one of these extremes, if accompanied by volume, tends to direct the movement of the next hour or part of the session.

15-minute: still constructive structure, but momentum cooling

The 15-minute chart is mainly for timing, not the overall trend. Here, the picture clearly shows a market that has run and is now catching its breath.

EMA M15 – price above 200, below 20 and 50

M15 Data:

Price: 13.95

EMA 20: 14.04

EMA 50: 13.99

EMA 200: 13.63

What it means: In the very short term, the price has fallen below the faster EMAs but remains above the 200. It’s a classic pullback within an still intact trend at the structural level. Not a sign of collapse, more like “the market needs to digest the previous move.”

M15 RSI – short-term downward pressure

M15 Data: RSI 14 at 36.88.

What it means: RSI has moved into the low zone, signaling very short-term selling pressure. It’s consistent with a micro-pullback. As long as it doesn’t enter deep oversold territory, it’s more an absorption opportunity than a structural reversal.

M15 MACD – slight bearish momentum

M15 Data:

MACD line: -0.01

Signal: 0.00

Histogram: -0.02

What it means: The 15-minute chart is shedding some of its bullish excess, with a slightly negative MACD. The most likely scenario here is still a phase of consolidation or contained pullback, not a deep reversal of the daily trend.

M15 Bollinger Bands – price near the middle band

M15 Data:

Mid band: 14.05

Upper band: 14.14

Lower band: 13.96

Price: 13.95 (slightly below the just-touched lower band)

What it means: The price has moved toward the lower limit of the bands in the very short term, signaling a mini downside excess after the pullback. Generally, when the daily trend remains constructive, these dips on the 15-minute chart are often absorbed.

M15 ATR and pivot – low micro-volatility, market suitable for scalping

M15 Data:

ATR 14: 0.05

Pivot point PP: 13.95

R1: 13.96

S1: 13.94

What it means: The average range of each 15-minute candle is very tight, as is the pivot corridor. It’s a micro-movement market, more suitable for scalpers than for traders seeking significant directional swings on this timeframe.

Macro context: moderate risk-on, high BTC dominance

On the macro front, the total crypto market cap is around $3.32 trillion, up about 3.23% in the last 24 hours, with volumes increasing nearly 50%. Market sentiment, with the fear & greed index at 48, is neutral: no panic, no euphoria.

Bitcoin dominance above 57% indicates that a large part of the flow still favors the big names. For an alt like Chainlink, this usually means possible but selective rebounds. Altcoins are rewarded especially if they have strong narratives and clear technical levels. Currently, LINK has a constructive technical structure but is not yet leading the altcoin rotation.

Bullish scenario for Chainlink today

The bullish scenario is already underway in the short term but needs confirmations to become more than just a technical bounce. That’s why the price behavior in the coming sessions will be crucial.

What must happen to strengthen the bull case:

Stable recovery above the daily pivot at 14.03 and holding above 14.10–14.20 in the next sessions.

Maintaining the price above the EMA 20 and 50 daily, with both moving averages clearly tilting upward.

D1 RSI that stabilizes above 60–65 without immediately exploding into overbought, indicating a healthy trend.

D1 MACD that continues to widen the positive histogram, i.e., strengthening momentum, not just a bounce.

Technical targets in case of continued bullishness:

First target zone: 14.30–14.50 area, near the upper D1 band, where profit-taking often begins.

Key medium-term level: daily EMA 200 around 15.80–16.00. Reclaiming and holding above this zone would truly shift LINK’s narrative from bounce to structural restart.

When the bullish scenario would start to falter:

Return below the 13.50–13.60 zone, i.e., below the daily EMA 50 again.

D1 RSI falling into 50 or less, indicating the upward push was only temporary.

D1 MACD closing the histogram and turning flat or negative within a few sessions.

Bearish scenario for Chainlink today

The bearish scenario, at the moment, is more a potential risk than a reality on the daily chart. The short-term is favoring buyers, but being below the 200-day EMA reminds us that the overall trend has not yet convincingly reversed.

How the short side could reactivate:

Loss of the daily support S1 at 13.86 with follow-through, i.e., not just an intraday break but closes below that level.

Breaking sequentially the EMA 20 at 13.26 and then the 13.00–13.10 area, in line with the D1 Bollinger mid band.

D1 RSI slipping toward 45 and below, showing that the strength phase has been rejected.

D1 MACD returning toward zero and breaking below.

Technical targets in case of a bearish scenario:

Zone 12.00–12.20 as the first natural landing area in case of a more decisive correction.

In scenarios of greater overall crypto weakness, it wouldn’t be surprising to see tests toward the lower D1 band, around 11.90, as an extension of the move.

What would invalidate the bear case in the short term:

Stabilization above 14.30 with D1 RSI strengthening.

Clear alignment of all EMAs, with 20 > 50 > 200 and price above. At that point, the overall trend would change its face.

How to interpret Chainlink today in terms of positioning

Chainlink today is in an interesting gray zone: the short-term favors buyers, the long-term remains suspended. Swing traders might interpret the situation as an advanced technical rebound but not yet mature enough to speak of a consolidated bull trend.

Two key operational awareness points:

The 14–14.30 zone is the immediate crossroads: it marks the difference between a simple bounce and a short-term breakout attempt.

The 15.50–16.00 zone, corresponding to the D1 EMA 200, is the medium-term frontier. Without a credible reclaim of that area, any rally remains potentially sellable for those thinking in longer time horizons.

Volatility is currently manageable on both D1 and H1 but can expand rapidly if the price breaks key levels with high volumes, especially in a generally buoyant crypto market with high BTC dominance. Essentially, the terrain is favorable for explosive moves, but it’s not guaranteed they favor LINK if flow continues to favor large caps.

In any case, Chainlink price today remains at the center of an important game around current levels. The direction it takes relative to 14.00–14.30 in the coming sessions will help determine whether it’s just a short-term rebound or the start of something more substantial.

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Disclaimer: The considerations above are for informational and editorial purposes only and do not constitute any investment recommendation or solicitation. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile and speculative: operating in it is at your own exclusive responsibility, after carefully evaluating your objectives, financial situation, and risk tolerance.