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The crypto market is constantly changing, and I honestly admit — I am also in the process of learning. Every day, new questions, doubts, and observations arise that I want to understand more deeply. That is why the topics of bull and bear seasons are a living reality for me, not just theory. I am learning together with you, carefully observing the market and reading its signals. Perhaps some of you have more experience than I do and can share your insights. And maybe this article will become a point from which we can better understand the crypto market cycles together.
A bull season in the crypto market is when the prices of most assets steadily increase, investors feel confident, and the number of transactions grows. It is a time of optimism and new players entering the market. Key signs include breaking historical highs, increasing trading volumes, and a positive market sentiment. For example, in 2017, Bitcoin rose from about $1,000 to nearly $20,000, and Ethereum increased from $10 to $1,400. This is a vivid example of a bull season. It is important to remember that a bull trend does not last forever, and the main task of a trader is to identify the exit point to preserve profits.
A bear season is characterized by falling prices and decreased activity. Participants' psychology shifts to caution or panic. For example, after the peak of 2017, Bitcoin fell in 2018 from $20,000 to about $3,000. Main signs of a bear season include regular new lows, decreasing trading volumes, and fear of losses. Understanding a bear season helps minimize risks and plan a long-term strategy.
To recognize a season, it is advisable to use an analytical approach. The subpoints help systematize the process:
1. Analyzing historical price charts and trends.
2. Studying trading volumes and wallet activity.
3. Considering overall market sentiment and media.
4. Identifying new investment flows and capital injections.
5. Monitoring news that impacts the market.
6. Comparing with similar cycles from previous years.
The market operates according to the law of cycles. Bull and bear seasons are interconnected. For example, after a prolonged rise in Bitcoin in 2020–2021, the price exceeded $60,000, but at the beginning of 2022, a bear season started. Understanding this helps avoid panic selling.
Participants' psychology is also important. A bull season encourages investors to invest more, sometimes without proper analysis. A bear season heightens the fear of losses and pushes for hasty decisions. For example, the fall of Terra (LUNA) in 2022 showed how panic can accelerate a bear trend.
Trading volume and "whale" activity are important tools. For example, movements of large Ethereum wallets in 2021 caused short-term price spikes. Analytics include monitoring news and regulatory changes that can cause sharp fluctuations even in a stable season.
A systematic approach and constant observation help recognize signals of a bull or bear season. Even basic indicators, such as the ratio of buyers to sellers, help form an objective picture.
For me, understanding bull and bear seasons is key to conscious perception of the crypto market. Learning together, it is important to follow analytics, not succumb to emotions, and understand market signals. The crypto market always moves according to its own laws, and only attentive observers can turn knowledge into real opportunities. My goal is to understand so that everyone can better navigate the world of cryptocurrencies.
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