#美国贸易赤字状况 Friends, the data is out, and today's non-farm payroll report is quite interesting. Let me break it down for you.

Core Issue: Contradictory Signals
Unemployment Rate 4.4% — This is bearish! It indicates that the labor market remains tight, and the Fed isn't in such a hurry to cut interest rates.
Non-farm Payrolls +50,000 — This is actually bullish! Job growth has significantly slowed down. 🔥

Contradiction, right? How will the market react? The key depends on two points:

**How will the US Dollar Index move?**
The dollar and the crypto market usually move inversely. With this mixed data, will the dollar first fall then rise, or will it strengthen directly? If the dollar really gains strength, Bitcoin will face short-term pressure.

**Which side will the market favor more?**
In the current environment, the market might place more emphasis on the signal of the unemployment rate remaining low. This suggests that the Fed's rate cut in March isn't as urgent, and short-term liquidity may face tightening expectations.

**My judgment**: Overall, this round of data leans towards short-term bearish. It will suppress the overly optimistic market sentiment of "Fed will cut rates immediately." Tonight, we might see a rise followed by a fall, or a direct move to sideways consolidation under pressure.

**A few suggestions**:
Don’t chase the rise — If the market surges immediately after the data release, don’t rush in. Wait and see if it can stabilize at key levels before acting.

Observe before acting — Give the market 20-30 minutes to digest the sentiment. Wait until the candlestick chart shows a clear direction before making a move. Don’t jump the gun.

Risk first — Market volatility after economic data releases can be significant. Operate with small positions, and always set stop-loss orders. No exceptions.

**Summary in one sentence**: Contradictory data, volatile markets. Don’t act prematurely; let the market choose its own direction. We’ll keep an eye on the charts together.