2026-01-03 08:31:55

ETH closed 9 monthly red candles in 2025.

This is not the first time it has happened. The same situation occurred in 2018 — that year was clearly a bear market.

When these types of technical patterns start to recur, the question becomes interesting. Does the traditional 4-year crypto cycle — still hold true?

The previous logical framework seems to be failing. The frequency of consecutive monthly declines suggests that market structure may be undergoing a fundamental change. In this constantly evolving market, we need to reassess those prediction models that once worked.

ETH-3,37%

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SchroedingersFrontrun

· 01-06 02:28

9 red candles? Huh, can the 2018 pattern still be used? I don't think so. --- Repeating 2018 again? It's already 2025, still clinging to a four-year cycle, that's quite interesting. --- Someone should have mentioned that the cycle is invalid long ago; the market isn't that predictable. --- After such a continuous decline, it's really time to consider whether a different approach is needed. --- Red candles ≠ bear market, don't be scared by history. --- The four-year cycle is becoming increasingly unreliable, for sure. --- Pattern repetition ≠ result repetition. How come some people still haven't understood this? --- Prediction models need an upgrade; holding onto old maps while wandering in a new market. --- Can 2018 and 2025 be the same? The environment has changed.

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DeFiAlchemist

· 01-05 12:25

the 4-year cycle cope is finally breaking down... protocols revealing their true risk-adjusted returns when the alchemy wears off. history rhyming but the transmutation mechanics? nah, fundamentally different now.

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MonkeySeeMonkeyDo

· 01-03 09:01

9 red candles, a replay of 2018? I think this time is different, the market has already changed. Breaking the level or consolidating, anyway I’m waiting to see what the February data says. This 4-year cycle should have been discarded long ago, now the crypto market moves much faster. By the way, this round of decline was quite sharp again, there should be more people cutting losses. It feels like everyone is betting on the next turning point, just not sure when it will come.

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GateUser-26d7f434

· 01-03 09:01

After the 2018 wave, I never dared to believe in the four-year cycle again. I feel this theory should have been retired long ago.

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MetaMisfit

· 01-03 08:52

Nine red candles and you're panicking? I saw that wave in 2018 too, and what happened? Still alive until now... Speaking of cycle theory, it really seems to be less and less effective. The market is changing, the rules are changing, and retail investors are always a step behind.

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SchrodingersFOMO

· 01-03 08:52

Are 9 monthly candles red? It was the same in 2018... Wait, can we still use the 4-year cycle theory now? Feels like the old methods are becoming less effective.

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JustHodlIt

· 01-03 08:43

9 monthly red candles... Repeating 2018? Forget it, cycle theory should have been discarded long ago. This market is no longer the one we used to know.

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SerRugResistant

· 01-03 08:41

Nine red candles and you're panicking? In 2018, we survived that too. History always repeats itself but never the same. The cycle theory should have been discarded long ago. The market has changed, yet you're still using old almanacs to predict. Wake up, everyone.

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