2025-12-30 14:24:18

Bitcoin has recently fallen into a typical range-bound consolidation—each time it approaches the 90,000 mark, it gets pushed back down, only to find support around 86,000. This repetitive tug-of-war may seem boring, but it actually hints that a major move could be imminent.

From a technical perspective, the Bollinger Bands on the daily chart have flattened and are narrowing. What does this mean? Simply put—when volatility contracts to this extent, it often signals that a larger move is coming. In other words, a breakout could happen within the next few days.

Why has the market been so subdued lately? There’s hardly any major macroeconomic data releases, and institutional players are in holiday mode. The recent high-value contract settlement last Friday didn’t spark much enthusiasm either. Coupled with a strengthening dollar and global policy uncertainties, funds seem to be waiting for clearer signals.

Some say policy stimuli might be brewing, while others are watching changes at the Federal Reserve. These uncertainties are like a tightly stretched string—when it finally loosens, the direction will be clear.

The current advice is to stay alert. No need to rush into longs or shorts; just be prepared for either scenario and wait for that decisive moment. How the start of 2026 unfolds may depend on whether this level holds or breaks in the coming days.

BTC1,59%

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AlwaysMissingTops

· 10h ago

Will the Bollinger Bands tighten? I might as well eat and sleep as usual; sooner or later, it will break. Again dropped below 90,000? The trader really doesn’t make things easy. Policy stimulation brewing? It looks more like they’re brewing a wave of cutting leeks. Institutions on holiday, funds on the sidelines... Basically, no one dares to move. Preparing for both sides? Forget it, I’ll just prepare a knife to cut my losses. It indeed looks like gathering strength, but it feels more like energy to scam money. After such a long period of range oscillation, the breakout direction is 90% likely to be downward.

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GoldDiggerDuck

· 10h ago

The Bollinger Bands tightening has been talked about so many times, and every time they say a breakout is just around the corner. But what happened? It's still just sideways trading there. Wait, institutions are on holiday? Then who is dumping the market? That logic doesn't add up. Honestly, everyone, this wave is just grinding the market; the real direction hasn't emerged yet. Everyone is waiting for the Federal Reserve's signal. It feels like everyone is betting on tomorrow's events. Range-bound oscillation is a good time to harvest the chives. I've seen through it.

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NFTRegretDiary

· 10h ago

The Bollinger Band convergence theory has been drilled into my ears so much that I have calluses. In the end, we're still fluctuating between 86,000 and 90,000. Institutions are on holiday, right? So should retail investors just wait patiently? I think they might be just accumulating, waiting for us to fall asleep before making another move. These days, breaking the level and starting in 2026—I don't believe you. History always blows the same trumpet, and a month later, there's another story. Rather than holding onto this "tightrope," I might as well go out and get some fresh air. Anyway, I can't make quick money, and it might even make me feel better by looking at fewer K-line charts. Wait a minute, friend. Are you speaking the truth, or are you just hyping up a certain direction?

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SandwichDetector

· 10h ago

The talk about Bollinger Bands tightening and converging, I've heard it too many times, and yet, it still results in continued range-bound oscillation... Wait and see, maybe the breakout will come and directly hit my stop-loss order. Deciding on a breakout in the next few days for 2026? Haha, the pressure is a bit heavy. Above 90,000 is dead, really want to see who dares to take the plunge. Institutions taking a break means no market signals? Laughable, retail investors are the real main force.

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OldLeekNewSickle

· 11h ago

Bollinger Bands narrowing? I've heard this phrase too many times. Every time, they say it will break out, but the result is being trapped in the middle and repeatedly slapped. But to be fair, this kind of range does feel stifling, as if it could explode at any moment.

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