Precious metals markets have experienced jaw-dropping volatility over the past month. From soaring to plunging, from massive losses to emergency rescue efforts—the stories behind these events are thought-provoking.
**One Night Plunge, Market Panic**
In late December, international gold prices suddenly reversed course. A single-day drop of $246 (about RMB 1,722), and New York futures gold plummeted by $268 (about RMB 1,876). This instant reversal caught many bullish investors off guard.
But it didn't happen out of nowhere. On the night before the gold price decline, a news story exploded in the market—an American major bank faced a huge margin call due to silver short positions, involving up to $2.3 billion. Silver has already risen nearly 150% this year, and the exchange's margin call notices followed. It is rumored that the bank failed to raise funds in time, leading to forced liquidation and substantial losses.
**Federal Reserve Acts Again: Second Injection in Half a Month**
The situation escalated quickly. The Federal Reserve responded swiftly, injecting $34 billion of liquidity into the market. This is the second intervention in half a month, after a $18 billion injection just last week. Clearly, some financial institutions have become "too big to fail," and systemic risk must be addressed once triggered.
Panic quickly spread. Precious metals mining stocks tumbled across the board, with Harmoni Gold dropping over 8%, and Pan-American Silver falling nearly 6%. The market reacted by selling first and asking questions later—uncertainty means avoiding risk.
**Disconnection Between Paper Gold and Spot Market, Premium Reaches Ten-Year High**
Even more interesting, a significant divergence has emerged between the futures market and the spot market.
COMEX silver futures (paper silver) fell to around $75 per ounce, but at the same time, Shanghai physical silver was quoted at $85, and Dubai even surged to $91. This spot premium has reached the highest level in decades.
What does this mean? It indicates a loosening of pricing power in Europe and America. A large number of arbitrageurs are buying gold and silver in the US and shipping them to Shanghai and Dubai for sale. As inventories of gold and silver in Chicago and London continue to decline, the position of the Eastern pricing center is rising.
**Systemic Risks and Market Restructuring**
Over the past few years, some major banks have been involved in "paper gold"
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AirdropHunterWang
· 11h ago
The day paper silver plummeted, I almost got caught and stuck, luckily I didn't go all in... Now it seems I still need to stock up on physical silver.
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AirdropGrandpa
· 11h ago
$2.3 billion additional margin? Damn, this big bank is really outrageous. Luckily, the Federal Reserve is backing us up, haha.
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ForkYouPayMe
· 11h ago
The Federal Reserve is starting to loosen monetary policy again. After all these years, it's still the same old trick. Too big to fail, indeed.
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MEVHunterX
· 11h ago
Damn, is it the Federal Reserve saving the market again? I'm tired of this routine... Can't it be that if it's too big to fail, they can just print unlimited money?
View OriginalReply0
BlockchainWorker
· 11h ago
Wow, the difference between paper silver and spot is so big? Is it going to collapse...
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FlashLoanKing
· 12h ago
23 billion USD margin call, directly liquidated... This is the outcome of big banks playing with paper gold.
The spot price difference for paper gold is so large that arbitrageurs are bound to suffer heavy losses. It feels like the East is really gaining influence in discourse.
The Federal Reserve has intervened twice in a month; this pace is like rushing to save an ICU. Systemic risk can no longer be hidden.
Gold futures dropped $268; the bullish might be doubting life after losses. Is this what you call risk management?
Physical silver premium hit a ten-year high, and bears can't even push the price down... Interesting.
Precious metals markets have experienced jaw-dropping volatility over the past month. From soaring to plunging, from massive losses to emergency rescue efforts—the stories behind these events are thought-provoking.
**One Night Plunge, Market Panic**
In late December, international gold prices suddenly reversed course. A single-day drop of $246 (about RMB 1,722), and New York futures gold plummeted by $268 (about RMB 1,876). This instant reversal caught many bullish investors off guard.
But it didn't happen out of nowhere. On the night before the gold price decline, a news story exploded in the market—an American major bank faced a huge margin call due to silver short positions, involving up to $2.3 billion. Silver has already risen nearly 150% this year, and the exchange's margin call notices followed. It is rumored that the bank failed to raise funds in time, leading to forced liquidation and substantial losses.
**Federal Reserve Acts Again: Second Injection in Half a Month**
The situation escalated quickly. The Federal Reserve responded swiftly, injecting $34 billion of liquidity into the market. This is the second intervention in half a month, after a $18 billion injection just last week. Clearly, some financial institutions have become "too big to fail," and systemic risk must be addressed once triggered.
Panic quickly spread. Precious metals mining stocks tumbled across the board, with Harmoni Gold dropping over 8%, and Pan-American Silver falling nearly 6%. The market reacted by selling first and asking questions later—uncertainty means avoiding risk.
**Disconnection Between Paper Gold and Spot Market, Premium Reaches Ten-Year High**
Even more interesting, a significant divergence has emerged between the futures market and the spot market.
COMEX silver futures (paper silver) fell to around $75 per ounce, but at the same time, Shanghai physical silver was quoted at $85, and Dubai even surged to $91. This spot premium has reached the highest level in decades.
What does this mean? It indicates a loosening of pricing power in Europe and America. A large number of arbitrageurs are buying gold and silver in the US and shipping them to Shanghai and Dubai for sale. As inventories of gold and silver in Chicago and London continue to decline, the position of the Eastern pricing center is rising.
**Systemic Risks and Market Restructuring**
Over the past few years, some major banks have been involved in "paper gold"