#数字资产市场动态 Looking at today's market, Bitcoin has been fluctuating between 86,800 and 88,200. The evening rally was suppressed, and the rebound in the early morning didn't gain momentum. By noon, there were still buyers stabilizing the price around 86,800. After 1 PM, the one-hour MACD has already formed a golden cross, but the price is stuck at the 87,800 level, which is indeed a resistance point. Four consecutive bullish candles on the four-hour chart, and the MACD fast line has been pushed above the zero line. The next step depends on how the price performs within the 87,800 to 88,500 range, whether it faces strong resistance at 89,500 to 90,500.



Ethereum's pace is even more aggressive. During the 4 PM surge, it directly jumped from the EMA crossover point at 2,950, rushing straight to 3,000. The increase is indeed sharper than Bitcoin's. After the spike, the four-hour consolidation has been narrow, between 2,972 and 2,988. The one-hour MACD is starting to weaken, but the four-hour MACD is just beginning to turn, so the market may still revolve around the 3,000 level.

Honestly, the recent short positions haven't been ideal. The market is just consolidating, and the four-hour chart looks somewhat neutral. It's time to change the strategy. Follow the consolidation and avoid fighting the market.

**Bitcoin key levels:**
Above: 88500, 89500, 90500
Below: 87200, 86500

**Ethereum key levels:**
Above: 3000, 3050
Below: 2930 to 2950 zone

Currently, the market is entangled. We should stay on the sidelines and not rush. The previous short logic was to try to catch a decline or make a big move, but after a week of market turbulence, it seems necessary to shift to a sideways approach.

**Reference trading plan:**
Long Bitcoin at 86,800 with a stop loss at 86,350; or short at 88,500 to 88,800, add to the short at 89,500, and set a stop loss at 90,250.

For ETH, since 2,950 has already been shorted and 3,000 has been added once, consider reducing the position, with a stop loss at 3,030. Alternatively, go long at 2,930 with a stop loss at 2,885.

In this way, regardless of profit or loss ratio and win rate, sideways trading won't be too bad. Overall, the bias remains more towards the bearish side.
BTC1,17%
ETH0,68%
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StablecoinArbitrageurvip
· 22h ago
honestly, the whole "oscillation strategy" thing misses what's actually happening with the order book depth at these resistance levels. if you're not calculating your slippage against the liquidity pools at 87800 and 3000, you're just gambling with worse risk-adjusted returns than you think.
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StablecoinGuardianvip
· 22h ago
88500, this line will probably take half a day to mess around again. Just looking at it makes me annoyed. It's better to wait until a break below and then decide.
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ReverseFOMOguyvip
· 22h ago
No long positions and no bottom-fishing, this week's been really chaotic. It seems I need to change my temper and play along with the fluctuations, rather than always trying to catch a big move.
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MemeEchoervip
· 22h ago
Reaching level 87800 is really frustrating. I’ve been trying all day but still can’t break through. It’s just another oscillation range. Do you understand the feeling of losing all your short positions? 88500 is the real battlefield. That’s where the true test begins. ETH hitting 3000 is no longer exciting. I thought there would be a strong move. Spinning around for a week and still in the same place. The market is really boring. Don’t rush. These two words are well said. Always trying to make quick money is the beginning of losing money. I just want to know if 89500 can be reached. Otherwise, all this effort this week was in vain.
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CryptoHistoryClassvip
· 22h ago
honestly, the amount of times we've seen this exact "sideways chop into breakout" setup has me checking the 2017 charts again... statistically speaking, we're hitting that capitulation-to-relief bounce pattern that usually precedes something. problem is nobody knows which direction lol
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