2025-12-30 13:26:10

In the final days of 2025, the market is filled with a sense of restlessness. BTC is struggling back and forth between $86,000 and $90,000, while retail investors still hold onto hopes of a New Year miracle. But the reality is—main capital has already entered holiday mode.

As liquidity dries up, the risk of sudden price swings increases sharply. Coupled with year-end tax-related selling pressure in Europe and America, those who bought at high levels are now experiencing panic selling. For traders holding long contracts, this is a time to be especially cautious.

From another perspective, spot traders don’t need to panic too much. If your entry cost wasn’t at the top, this decline is essentially a dead time—selling doesn’t make much sense. As for friends who are already trapped, now is not the best time to cut losses; it’s better to patiently wait for institutional funds to flow back in January.

Looking back at 2025, the market exhibited typical characteristics of a Bitcoin distribution year: $300 billion worth of dormant BTC re-entered circulation, most of the time the trend was weak, and spot ETF continued to see net outflows. Institutional investors who positioned themselves in the previous two years had already cashed out at high levels between $100,000 and $120,000.

Regarding the timing of new funds entering the market, my personal view is that early 2026 will be a good window. By then, the market landscape may undergo different changes.

BTC0,73%

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StakeHouseDirector

· 20h ago

The main players are on vacation and still struggling here, this is the funniest part. This wave of catching the top is really painful, but don't rush to cut your losses. Waiting for institutions to recover in January is the real deal. There might really be a chance by early 2026, but this timing is indeed awkward. Long contracts should be cleared now, this pace is too dangerous. Holding spot positions passively is actually the wise move, don't be reckless.

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RektButAlive

· 20h ago

Main force fake holiday mode, retail investors are still dreaming, this gap is really incredible What is the mentality of the bagholders at high levels now? Cutting losses is a loss, not cutting losses is also a loss The opportunity to bottom fish in spot market has arrived, it all depends on who dares to take this hit Wait, will there really be a rebound in early 2026? Feels like this prediction is a bit optimistic The 300 billion dormant coins have flowed out, no wonder it’s so painful, institutions have already run away Really, unless the cost is very low, selling now is a loss, better to lie flat and wait for January For this kind of thing, contract traders need to hold tight now, one careless move and it’s liquidation It’s almost 2026, still thinking about New Year miracles? Give me a break, wake up Those who sell 10-12 million have made a huge profit, we really came too late Trash time is trash time, anyway, can’t run away, just treat it as a regular investment

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LightningAllInHero

· 20h ago

The main players are on holiday, and we're still struggling here as retail investors. Come back next year, anyway there are no opportunities now. The bagholders at high levels must be feeling pretty bad... Wait for the institutions to return, otherwise selling now would be a pure loss. The 300 billion sleeping coins are waking up, what does that mean? Dumping. Brothers and sisters holding contracts, be really careful these days. The year-end tax harvest is really ruthless, how many people have already fallen down. Spot trading isn't urgent, but contracts should be panicking, the difference is just so big.

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NotFinancialAdvice

· 20h ago

Main players are on holiday, retail investors are still in a daze... This is the difference between spot and futures. --- The recent surge of buying at high levels is really brutal, a quick dip and it’s a direct break and cut. --- Wait, you said institutional funds will recover in January? I feel like 2026 might be even more uncertain. --- Just relax with spot trading, anyway you can't run away. Instead of watching the market all day, better go to sleep. --- $300 billion dormant coins have been released, now that’s the real nightmare. --- Futures brothers need to stay alert now, one quick dip and blood is drawn. --- If you bought at the top, there's no need to rush. Just consider this the accumulation phase of the bear market. --- Institutions already ran at 120,000, now expecting them to come back? That’s a bit naive. --- Don’t cut losses on your trapped positions just yet, it sounds easy but the mentality has long been shattered. --- Trash time is just trash time, I just want to see who’s still holding on tight.

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