2025-12-30 13:20:14

Looking at recent market conditions, Bitcoin has been fluctuating between $28,000 and $30,000, causing many to become restless. The market is filled with various speculations: Is the Federal Reserve about to stop raising interest rates? Is now the time to enter the market and buy the dip? Instead of guessing blindly, it’s better to see what the data says.

According to the latest Federal Reserve meeting minutes, there are already clear disagreements within the committee. Some officials believe that the current interest rate level is high enough and there’s no need to raise it further; others are still worried that inflation might resurge and advocate for continued observation. Due to this lack of consensus, market participants are unsure of the next direction, causing both bulls and bears to hold back, and the price oscillates within this range.

Many are expecting the Federal Reserve to start a rate cut cycle, as if once rate cuts begin, the crypto market will usher in a wave of spectacular gains. But reality is often not that simple. Historical experience shows that from the pause in rate hikes to the actual start of rate cuts, it usually takes 3 to 6 months, or even longer. During this transition period, liquidity remains tight, and the crypto market mostly exhibits oscillations up and down, with a low probability of a one-sided rally. Investors hoping to buy the dip before dawn may need to wait a bit longer; the timing is not quite right yet.

The standard for market bottom detection actually has some clues. The true bottom often does not appear during the worst fundamentals but rather during the phase when pessimism gradually dissipates and funds start quietly accumulating. Currently, these signals are not fully evident, so there’s no need to rush.

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NoodlesOrTokens

· 17h ago

Wait a minute, with the Fed and these people fighting internally, what should we retail investors do? Charging in now is really like catching a flying knife, and who knows when it might come crashing down again. It's better to play it safe and wait for signals. The real opportunity will come when the pessimistic sentiment dissipates.

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StakeOrRegret

· 12-30 13:50

Still repeatedly confirming around 28,000-30,000. I've seen this routine many times... Waiting for interest rate cuts? Bro, you're still early, 3-6 months away. Can you hold on? Honestly, no one dares to move, both bulls and bears are holding back. Only after the sentiment dissipates will the true bottom come. So what bottom are you trying to buy now? The Federal Reserve folks are not unified in their opinions, so retail investors better not overthink it. This round requires patience; those greedy ones have been wiped out by the overnight market. Liquidity is still tight, don't expect any grand waves. Stay steady and don't get carried away.

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RatioHunter

· 12-30 13:44

What are you waiting for? The interest rate cut cycle is still a long way off, starting in 3-6 months. Buying the dip now would just be a battle with yourself.

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RadioShackKnight

· 12-30 13:43

Waiting for the wind to come again, haha. With such internal division within the Federal Reserve, we retail investors should wait even more. Wait until the signals are fully evident before taking action. It's indeed still too early now.

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SchrodingerProfit

· 12-30 13:41

Wait a minute, the Fed's internal conflicts have already started, what are we still waiting for here? I've been copying on the floor for almost a year, I really don't believe there's no bottom. When will the rate cut cycle come? It feels like this waiting will never end. That's right, the bottom isn't brought about by falling, but by emotional crashes. I'm a bit annoyed by this "wait a little longer" argument; it's better to set a stop-loss line yourself. With liquidity tightening recently, in a volatile market, you should learn to trade in waves.

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MemeKingNFT

· 12-30 13:34

Waiting for the interest rate cut benefits again, I've believed it for a long time. But honestly, the recent internal conflicts at the Federal Reserve are quite interesting; both bears and bulls are shrinking back. Wait, it will take 3 to 6 months to actually cut rates? Then when should I hold onto this NFT blue chip? The bottom signal needs to be quietly positioned to be effective. For now, it's still the time for leek farmers, everyone, don't rush. That's right, history tells us that those who buy the dip are always the ones being bought from. Let's wait a bit longer; the right timing will come. The range between 28000 and 30000 is dragging on. If I had known it would be such a rollercoaster this year, why wasn't I more cautious when the NFT bubble burst last year?

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