#预测市场 The prediction market is once again playing out a reversal drama. Wosh's probability jumped from 7% directly to 48%, and Hasset dropped from 85% to 42%. This wave of operations can be regarded as a textbook-level change in market sentiment.



Key information you need to capture: Trump publicly stated that Wosh is among the top contenders, and JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon also expressed support. This is not a small move. The fluctuations in data on prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi reflect capital re-pricing expectations, which are important signals for us to judge policy directions.

Why am I mentioning this? Because the Federal Reserve Chairperson's selection will directly influence monetary policy trends, which in turn affect the liquidity expectations of the entire crypto market. The rhythm of airdrops for new projects and token unlock cycles will be affected by the policy environment. To participate accurately in airdrops, you need to stay sensitive to these macro information.

My simple advice now is: add the probability changes from prediction markets into your information source library and learn to interpret these market sentiment reversals. Policy shifts often bring a new round of project financing and airdrop opportunities, so positioning early is always wise. Keep following the subsequent developments—good opportunities are not far away.
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