美联储会议纪要前市场屏息，美元能否迎来转折点？

Question

【币界】最近一件事儿在市场里引起不少关注——美元在走弱。这背后的原因其实并不复杂：投资者都在等美联储最新的会议纪要，谨慎情绪蔓延开来。

有分析师指出，眼下市场的焦点集中在一个问题上：美联储2026年会怎么走？年底这个时间窗口本来流动性就比较紧张，再加上政策预期的不确定性，价格波动势必会被放大。换句话说，任何风吹草动都可能引发剧烈震荡。

关键在这儿——如果会议纪要透露出2026年继续降息的信号，美元和美国国债收益率都会面临压力。但如果基调转向更加谨慎、在降息问题上拿不出明确态度，那么短期内美元可能获得支撑。这就是当下的两难局面：市场在等答案，但答案来之前，不确定性本身就是最大的变量。

UnluckyLemur · Accepted Answer

Hold your breath? More like hold your breath and wait for death. Anyway, a single statement from the Federal Reserve can crash the entire market.

It's the same old story: rate cuts are good for cryptocurrencies, no rate cuts are good for the US dollar. We're just waiting to be harvested.

This kind of Schrödinger's market is really damn annoying. Nothing is certain until the minutes are released.

How will 2026 go? I think even the Federal Reserve hasn't decided yet.

The end of the year is always a ghost market, and with this wave of uncertainty, it's been pushed to the limit. Retail investors are struggling.

If they continue to cut rates this wave, I'll buy the dip. If they don't, I'll cash out. Anyway, I can take advantage of both sides.

HashRateHustler · Answer

Honestly, I'm just waiting for the moment of the minutes. It's uncomfortable to be on edge like this.

Rather than guessing, it's better to just place bets; anyway, the outcome is 50/50.

The Federal Reserve really likes to keep people guessing. They've been stressing over next year's issues for two months already.

Tight liquidity + unclear policies = the perfect time to short. Whoever dares not to move will lose.

The silence before the minutes is the easiest time for black swan events. I've already reduced my positions.

This round of the dollar is really unpredictable. If you can't keep up with the rhythm, just watch the show.

Will they cut rates or not? It all depends on which story the Federal Reserve wants to tell the market.

SellTheBounce · Answer

Dollar weakening? Haha, you'll see soon enough. As liquidity tightens at the end of the year, any small movement can cause a sharp drop. Only those willing to buy the dip are the bagholders.

Sell on rebounds; there are always lower points. Just be patient.

美联储会议纪要前市场屏息，美元能否迎来转折点？

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