Will you still be able to drive a sports car or ride a donkey home at the end of the year? It all depends on how these two events unfold! If you haven't been paying attention, make sure to mark these down now—don't wait until the market has passed to regret it.

First hurdle: December 31st at 3:00 AM, the Federal Reserve policy meeting minutes will be released.

If the tone is hawkish, emphasizing high interest rates and persistent inflation pressures, the idea of rate cuts will fade, and the crypto market will likely see a correction first. Conversely, if the tone is dovish, signaling a slowdown in tightening and economic pressures, the market will preemptively digest rate cut expectations, giving BTC and ETH a wave of emotional-driven surges.

Second hurdle: December 31st at 21:30, the weekly US unemployment claims data will be released. The previous value was 214,000, with market expectations at 220,000.

If the actual data doesn't exceed expectations, the rate cut betting enthusiasm will intensify, directly benefiting risk assets. If the data significantly surpasses expectations, the dollar is likely to strengthen, funds will flow into safe havens, and the crypto market could be cooled down in minutes.

The core message in one sentence: Don’t bet on how the data will turn out; wait for the real numbers before taking action. At this year-end point, survival is more valuable than precise predictions.

Markets are happening every day; what’s scarce is patience in waiting. Follow the market’s rhythm, don’t accelerate prematurely—wait until the situation is clear before choosing a side. That’s the safest approach. If you can’t keep up with the rhythm, see you in our chat room.