2025-12-30 11:26:27

On the last trading day of the year, the index has risen for 9 consecutive days, but market sentiment is clearly weakening. The divergence pattern has continued for two days, and the phenomenon of concentrated holdings at high levels is still ongoing. Today is a critical window for capital to cash out. Overall, the risks outweigh the opportunities, and chasing high prices is not cost-effective. It is recommended to postpone the buy points. Cautious investors may consider waiting until the end of the trading session to make decisions.

The commercial aerospace concept remains the main theme, but the risks here are worth caution. Shenjian Technology has hit 8 consecutive limit-ups, Luxin Venture Capital and some satellite-related targets have 4 limit-ups each, Aerospace Development has 2, and Leike Defense made its first limit-up to buy in. Whether these high-priced stocks can continue to challenge regulatory limits is key. If successful, the group can continue; if not, it may trigger a 2-day correction cycle. Currently, the cost-effectiveness of chasing high is indeed low. It’s better to wait until profits are fully realized and then look for low-entry opportunities. Core targets that have not kept pace with the rise earlier and are still close to previous highs are still worth paying attention to for rebound logic.

The overall rotation of the big tech sector is dominant, with a focus on specific catalysts. Fenglong Co., Ltd. has hit 4 limit-ups, Tianqi Co., Ltd. 3, Jikai Co., Ltd. 2, and Wuzhou Xinchun has broken its first limit-up. Commercial aerospace has absorbed a lot of funds, causing the tech sector to move less smoothly. Most stocks show a rebound pattern, but Wuzhou Xinchun and Siling Co., Ltd. have reached new highs. Last night, Shengtong Energy’s 12-limit-up was suspended for investigation, serving as a clear regulatory warning. Today, focus on rotation targets like Hubei Radio and Television, Naxing Co., Ltd., mainly to see if strong funds are continuing to relay. Avoid chasing independent stocks that are not linked to the main movement.

The core discipline for operation is: keep positions at 50%, with the remaining funds used to cope with year-end volatility. Do not blindly go all-in. Postpone buy points; avoid chasing in the early session. Prioritize waiting until after 10:00 when volume confirms, then act. If cautious, wait until the end of the session to re-evaluate.

The market carries risks; operation should be cautious. The above views are based on public market information and do not constitute any investment advice.

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ZenChainWalker

· 18h ago

Shenjian 8 is already out, and you're still daring to chase? Isn't that risking your life? When regulators act impulsively, they just suspend everything. I'm really scared.

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SchrodingerGas

· 18h ago

This is a classic false prosperity before liquidity dries up. The groupthink built on 9 consecutive gains can only challenge regulators for a few days... From a game theory perspective, both sides are just testing each other's bottom line. The aerospace sector... the interaction costs of capital allocation have become ridiculously high. The suspension of Shengtong after 12 consecutive boards is just an expected signal. Don't expect those independent trends without strong follow-through to outperform the market. I've held 50% of my position for half a year. The remaining chips are used for spatial arbitrage during these year-end fluctuations, and I'll decide later during the closing. The collapse of high-level groupthink often happens in an instant. On-chain evidence all points to funds fleeing.

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ApeWithNoFear

· 18h ago

This wave of aerospace stocks is really outrageous. After eight limit-ups, do you still dare to chase? Regulatory authorities are holding a sword over the market, so I won't touch it. I didn't move during those sharp surges in the early session; I'll wait until after 10 o'clock. Without confirmed volume, it's a trap. Shenjian Technology has already reached this position, and I feel the risk is much greater than the opportunity. It's better to wait for profit-taking to come out before getting in. The logic of the late rally in Wuzhou New Spring is indeed interesting, but it depends on whether funds are willing to continue the relay. Independent trends shouldn't be touched. Keep half of the position safe, and save the remaining funds for the year-end. The all-in approach should have been abandoned long ago. The 12-limit-up was temporarily halted, which is a clear signal. Today, watch whether the rotation targets have strong relay strength. If there's no linkage, don't join the fun. The key window is at the close; rushing in too early can easily get trapped. It's better to stay steady this time.

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SignatureAnxiety

· 18h ago

Here we go again, urging to short... Forget it, I’ll hold onto aerospace stocks and take a gamble without letting go. --- Even after the 神剑8 hit the limit up, still chasing. Isn’t that courting death? Just sell when it’s time. --- Wait a minute, the end-of-year rhythm is indeed strange. I think it’s safer to keep half of the position in cash. --- Is Wuzhou New Spring hitting a new high? We should pay attention to that; the rebound logic looks good. --- Shengtong Energy was temporarily suspended, the signal is clear enough. Time to tighten up. --- Early morning rushes are really traps. Let’s wait until after 10 o’clock; it’s not like we’re missing that much time. --- Everyone who went all-in with full positions is now regretting. Learn from the lessons, everyone. --- Aerospace stocks are draining other sectors... Brothers, don’t just focus on one concept. --- This wave of divergence is too intense. I’m a bit confused. Let’s wait and see for a while. --- Once regulation comes into play, someone immediately gets hit with a limit down. Don’t think it can keep soaring forever.

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GmGmNoGn

· 18h ago

The Divine Sword 8 board is here, and this wave of aerospace coalition seems like it's about to loosen up at any moment...

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QuietlyStaking

· 18h ago

God Sword 8 Board is already irrational; this kind of high-level group hugging will eventually lead to a loss. --- This end-of-year market is just a rhythm of cutting leeks; those who rushed in early will regret it. --- Half a position is right; keep the remaining cash for bottom-fishing, don't be greedy. --- When Shengtong Energy was suspended, the market should wake up; those chasing highs are just betting that regulators are sleeping. --- Wait until 10 o'clock for volume confirmation before going in; there's no rush in this wave. --- Commercial aerospace is bleeding, tech is catching up; the rotation logic is still worth chasing. --- Deciding at the end of the session is indeed prudent; after all, liquidity is limited at year-end, no need to be in a hurry. --- Those independent trends without linkage can be directly passed; concept-based leek-cutting is too ruthless. --- Group hugging is about to collapse; the regulatory bottom line is something that can be touched at any time. --- 50% position is enough; don't go all-in. This lesson can only be learned through experience.

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