2025-12-30 10:21:06

Institutions have different predictions for Bitcoin's market in 2026, but among the bearish forecasts, an extreme prediction from an international financial institution stands out as particularly eye-catching.

This institution's track record of predictions is actually not very reliable. In 2018, when Bitcoin was around $10,000, they predicted it would fall to $1,500, but it rebounded to $3,200. By 2021, they forecasted Bitcoin would surge to $400,000, but the highest it actually reached was $69,000. If this prediction actually comes true, it would be quite surprising.

Their latest logic is based on competitive market analysis. The competitors faced by gold are mainly silver, platinum, and palladium, but what about Bitcoin? When it comes to competitors in the crypto assets space, there are a million types. This comparison itself is problematic—using the competitive landscape of traditional precious metals to evaluate digital assets is clearly overthinking. As the saying goes, your uncle is still your uncle.

If Bitcoin truly drops to $10,000, the current crypto ecosystem could face a huge shock. However, looking at the overall landscape next year, gold seems to have room to rise, while both the US stock market and Bitcoin might face some pullback pressure.

BTC1,5%

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

9 Likes

Reward
9
7
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

AirDropMissed

· 14h ago

This institution's prediction accuracy is truly outrageous, using the same methods as with gold to analyze Bitcoin, the gap in perspective is way too big.

View OriginalReply0

BoredApeResistance

· 14h ago

You're joking again. The accuracy rate of this institution's predictions is even worse than me randomly throwing out a number. How can they still compare gold to Bitcoin? That logic is really off the charts. 10,000 USD? Dream on. This time, it's going to crash again. Are their predictions accurate, bro? Stop pessimizing all the time, okay? Daring to boast about 400,000 USD, but I think 10,000 USD this time is also nonsense. The market is all about unpredictability. When has this group of institutions ever been reliable? Forget it. Trying to short again and buy the dip, huh?

View OriginalReply0

MemeCoinSavant

· 14h ago

lmao this institution's track record is actually peer-reviewed cope... 1500 btc prediction in 2018? got rekt. their 400k thesis was peak academic memester energy ngl

Reply0

BearMarketSurvivor

· 14h ago

This institution is just applying traditional financial principles to digital assets, and every prediction is a gamble. Position management is the key to survival; don't be swayed by extreme opinions.

View OriginalReply0

PretendingSerious

· 15h ago

This institution's forecasting ability is worrying; their historical track record is just a joke. They keep using the same old gold logic, it's really ridiculous to compare so many players in the crypto circle. 10,000 USD? Dream on, even if the ecosystem collapses, it's not that simple. Forecast masters just know how to make bold claims; it's truly spooky if they actually come true. Gold is stable, no doubt about that, but the US stock market and Bitcoin are indeed under significant correction pressure. This institution is probably just taking money to speak; their logical flaws are everywhere, yet they dare to make predictions. Bet a dollar they won't really drop to 1,000.

View OriginalReply0

AirdropBuffet

· 15h ago

Here they come again. These institutions have never been accurate in their predictions. Do they even have the nerve to come out and embarrass themselves repeatedly? Every time, they make grand predictions, and all end up being slapped in the face. Who do they think they can fool this time? Gold is indeed optimistic, but if Bitcoin really drops to 10,000, I’ll go all in. It’s time to wake up, everyone, and stop applying traditional financial logic to the crypto world. This institution’s prediction record is clearly a joke. Just trust your instincts and operate in the opposite direction. 1500 to 3200, 40,000 to 69,000, and now they want to do it all over again? I’m speechless. The crypto ecosystem’s resilience is stronger than expected. It’s not so fragile. Over-worrying can actually cause you to miss opportunities. With so many bearish voices, I’m actually becoming more bullish. What does that say about my own judgment?

View OriginalReply0

ArbitrageBot

· 15h ago

This institution's forecasting ability is really the king of imagination haha Their prediction accuracy is even worse than my random guesses They're still using the gold set to manipulate the crypto circle, wake up everyone $10,000? Dream on, the ecosystem has already collapsed Well said, your grandpa will always be your grandpa But next year we really need to be defensive, both the US stock market and the crypto circle should be cautious These people, it's fine if their predictions are inaccurate, but they still have the nerve to publish reports Rather than listening to this, it's better to look at on-chain data Gold rising, US stocks falling, Bitcoin can't escape either, the logic is consistent One word, just wait and see

View OriginalReply0