#比特币与黄金战争 The silver market has been quite dramatic these days—rushing up to 83.9 in the morning and then crashing down to 74.2 before stabilizing, now bouncing back and forth around 75.4.

Honestly, this wave of market movement is the result of year-end clearing and capital game-playing. Liquidity exhaustion has amplified the volatility, pushing silver's volatility index to the max. From a technical perspective, the daily chart shows a long bearish candle, RSI has been dropping from overbought levels, and MACD has also given a death cross, indicating that the short-term bears are clearly in control. The 4-hour rebound is just a technical correction; MACD remains below the zero line, and the overall trend is still downward.

On the weekly level, 74.2 is the mid-term critical level. Above that, there's resistance at 76.5. If it breaks through 76.0, we could see a rebound target of 78-80; below that, if it breaks 74.2, be prepared for 70. The recent trading strategy is very clear: avoid small-range fluctuations and focus on large breakouts.

The fundamentals are actually quite favorable for silver—expectations of the Federal Reserve cutting rates in 2026 are still there, but in the short term, institutional clearing pressure before the holiday and liquidity drying up during the New Year holiday cause the market to fluctuate repeatedly.

**How to trade in the evening session:**

Light short positions when rebounding to 76-76.5, keep a close eye on 76.5, and watch 74.4. If it breaks 74.2, add to the position targeting 70; if it retraces to 74.2-74.0, lightly go long, with a stop at 73.5. First target is 75.8, and if it breaks 76.0, add to the position aiming for 80.

The core logic is—trend breakout trading, narrow stop-loss + big targets, abandoning small profits from sideways trading. Keep a close watch on the effective breakouts of 76.5 and 74; once confirmed, execute decisively, using a strict stop-loss to capture large volatility gains.