#预测市场 I recently saw something quite interesting in the prediction markets! 🤔 The probability of Wosh becoming the Federal Reserve Chair has skyrocketed from 7% to 48% on Polymarket, surpassing Haskett to take the top spot. Seeing these numbers change really surprised me; it feels just like watching candlestick charts in the crypto world—so exciting!



But to be honest, as a newbie, I find it a bit confusing—how exactly do prediction markets work? Is it a bit like gambling? Or do they genuinely reflect the market's expectations for these events? Trump even said last Friday that Wosh is "definitely in the lead," so there must be some logic behind these changes. JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon also came out in support of Wosh—does this mean the trend is more reliable?

My current understanding is that prediction markets seem to "vote" through real money bets, so the data might be more authentic? But how does this relate to cryptocurrency trading? Will changes in the Federal Reserve Chair affect the crypto world? Looking forward to expert insights! 😅
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