Good morning everyone. Recently, the market has been quite unpredictable, with repeated shakeouts, precious metals on the rise, and stocks rebounding, but our digital assets have remained relatively calm. On one hand, the holiday season has led to decreased participation; on the other hand, the key factor is the difference in cycle stages — we are currently at the end of a four-year major cycle, entering a bear phase. This doesn't have much impact on contract traders, but it can be a bit frustrating for spot holders.



That said, as long as you’re not greedy, you can still catch some good moves within the range during consolidation. Community members following the strategy have been able to capitalize on 2-3 waves of market movements almost daily, and the accumulated gains are quite substantial. The mainstream view is that the longer the shakeout in the 8.5-9.4 range lasts, the higher the probability of a daily rebound to 99,000 or even approaching 107,000. Of course, this might be the last rally.

For intraday trading, continue to take short positions during rebounds: establish short positions around 87,800, add to shorts near 88,300, with a target around 87,100. Another instrument can be shorted around 2,930, with additional shorts near 2,950, and the stop-loss set between 2,900 and 2,988.
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WalletWhisperervip
· 6h ago
Spot trading frustration, this wave really hits the nail on the head. Anyway, I've been waiting a bit impatiently.
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VibesOverChartsvip
· 19h ago
The longer the consolidation time, the greater the rebound space. This logic just doesn't sound right, and it seems more like it's laying the groundwork for catching the trapped spot positions.
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ZkSnarkervip
· 19h ago
well technically the "last pump" narrative gets recycled every cycle... but ngl the range-bound logic here tracks. imagine if the boring consolidation actually pays off better than degens chasing wicks lol
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MetaMaskVictimvip
· 19h ago
Uh... it's the same old manipulation theory again. I feel like I've heard it a hundred times. Spot positions are still trapped, and the bears are still singing the same tune. It's really interesting.
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MoonBoi42vip
· 19h ago
The shakeout was pretty intense, and the spot market is indeed feeling stifling. But you're right, greed is the most dangerous, and small wave trades are actually more stable when done accurately. --- 99000? That's too optimistic, I think it's quite uncertain. Anyway, let's follow the rhythm first, and go short at 87800. --- Christmas holiday is like this, participation drops and the market becomes less interesting. We need a rebound after the New Year. --- I've heard this last round of upward push many times, but it always turns out to be a repeat. If you don't believe it, I'll just hold and wait. --- I agree with adding short positions at 2950; this level should be defended, or else you'll have to recover the cost again. --- Being able to eat 2-3 waves daily is indeed possible, but the key is not to be impatient. Seeing you all enjoying it so much makes me tempted.
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MetaverseLandladyvip
· 20h ago
Spot position holders do feel a bit uncomfortable, but on the other hand, this wave of momentum can definitely be exploited, it all depends on who has the patience.
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TheMemefathervip
· 20h ago
87800 is empty. If this wave can drop to 87100, it would be comfortable. I heard it could spike up to 107000. How long would that take?
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