As of December 27, 2025, 10:00 (UTC+8), SOL is quoted at approximately $123.3. The short-term movement is narrow-range and slightly weak, with a core range of $121-$126. Due to low holiday liquidity, the direction remains uncertain.

Key Views

• Trend: Hovering near the lower boundary of the 4H descending channel, with price under pressure below the 20-day moving average ( $130.2 ). ADX<25 indicates no strong trend, with -DI slightly stronger than +DI.

• Pattern: 4H shows a converging triangle, caution for a downward breakout; the weekly mid-term trend is bearish.

• Sentiment: Fear and Greed Index at 23 (Extreme Fear). Weekend trading is light, with funds on the sidelines.

Key Price Levels (USD)

• Support: 121.0 (4H previous low + lower Bollinger Band) → 119.0 (consolidation zone) → 116.9 (secondary strong support)

• Resistance: 125.0-126.0 (20SMA + psychological level) → 128.0-130.0 (consolidation zone) → 133.0 (previous high)

Indicator Overview

• Moving Averages: Price below the 20/50-day moving averages, short-term bearish; weekly mid-term trend remains weak.

• MACD (4H): Histogram slightly turning negative, both lines below zero, selling pressure persists, rebound momentum insufficient.

• RSI (4H): 40-45 neutral to slightly low, no obvious overbought or oversold signals, lacking clear reversal signs.

• Volume: Weekend trading is light; a breakout above 126 with volume or a drop below 121 may open new space.

Trading Strategies (Actionable)

• Short-term Short: Short at 125.0-125.8, stop loss at 127.5, take profit at 122.0→121.0.

• Short-term Long: Retrace to 121.5 for initial position, add at 120.5, average control below 121.0, stop loss at 119.0, take profit at 124.0.

• Position: Limited volatility over the weekend, trade in small batches, no single position exceeding 10% of total funds, strict stop-loss.

Trend Trigger Conditions

• Upward Breakout: Break above 126.0 with volume, target 128.0→130.0.

• Downward Breakdown: Fall below 121.0, target 119.0→116.9.