2025-12-27 01:40:21

#比特币与黄金战争 $BTC $SUI $AT

Countdown 13 days—Trump is about to officially announce the new Federal Reserve Chair. Global capital markets have been holding their breath these days because this decision could rewrite the entire upcoming monetary policy trajectory.

People in the crypto world don't really care whether Powell stays or leaves; what truly matters is a simple, blunt question: Will the new chair initiate rate cuts?

Three phenomena are already clear enough. First, Trump has been openly pressuring in recent months, with a very firm stance. Second, the market has already started pricing in the possibility of 3 to 5 rate cuts in 2026. Third, the rumored candidates are all "dovish" in stance, leaning toward easing policies.

From another perspective: rate cuts haven't officially started yet, but the expectation that "rate cuts are coming" has already been embedded in every trade. Market participants know that when liquidity loosens, the first assets to react are always highly elastic assets. Bitcoin and mainstream cryptocurrencies are far more sensitive to these changes than traditional assets.

The logic of history is cruel—bull markets don't start only after rate cuts are actually implemented; they begin the moment the market confirms that "rate cuts are coming." When the interest rate peaks and cash purchasing power begins to weaken, huge amounts of capital will seek new safe havens. At this point, high-elasticity assets like Bitcoin naturally become the first choice.

So don't be fooled by the recent sideways movement. This is not a sign that the market is doomed; rather, it indicates that major institutions are gathering strength, waiting for the new chair to be confirmed and the easing signals to be fully validated. The flow of funds is like water flowing downhill—its direction is already clear.

Do you think in this cycle, Bitcoin will first break out with a strong trend, or will it go through a shakeout before rising again?

BTC0,17%

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Deconstructionist

· 4h ago

The rate cut expectation has already been priced in, and now we're just waiting for the dramatic moment. The question is whether institutions will make a move before the official announcement.

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DisillusiionOracle

· 5h ago

The rate cut expectations have already been priced in, just waiting to watch the show in 13 days. However, I bet the new chairman will come out with a wave of shakeout right away, and institutions will need to deceive retail investors' chips for another round.

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MEVictim

· 12-27 02:07

The expectation of interest rate cuts has already been fully priced in; I'm just worried that a single statement from Trump could directly reverse the trend...

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SpeakWithHatOn

· 12-27 02:07

Consolidation is just accumulation; there's nothing wrong with that logic. But the question is, when will the institutions stop accumulating?

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tokenomics_truther

· 12-27 02:06

The expectation of interest rate cuts is well written, but I still think that sideways movement might not be that simple. Are institutions really gathering strength? Or are they waiting for a lower level?

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ForkItAll

· 12-27 02:05

What are you sideways for? This is just the rhythm of accumulating chips. Once the new chairman makes a decisive move, it will take off immediately.

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SellLowExpert

· 12-27 02:05

This sideways movement is actually a buildup, big institutions are waiting for the new chairman announcement. The rate cut expectations have already been priced in; it all depends on how it reverses in 13 days. This round will definitely first shake out the weak hands before rising again; a sudden surge is too fake. BTC's sensitivity is truly unmatched; traditional assets can't keep up with this speed. After all the talk about easing policies, it all depends on actual actions. Once liquidity loosens, we'll know who is swimming naked.

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AirdropHermit

· 12-27 01:50

The expectation of interest rate cuts has been factored into the trading, and this is true, but I think it's still too optimistic to say that major institutions are gearing up now. Let's wait until the dust settles in 13 days before making any conclusions.

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