Back in the day when I was active in the stock market, I heard an old investor say something that I still remember very clearly: "The most intense rallies often happen when even the market grandmas start talking about codes. When everyone thinks they can make money just by buying blindly, that's when you should be alert."



After years of navigating the market, I’ve noticed an interesting phenomenon—although A-shares and the crypto world seem vastly different, the logic behind making money is actually the same: playing with expectations and stirring emotions. When a new theme emerges in A-shares, the crypto circle comes up with a new narrative. In essence, they’re both just "telling stories" to the market.

But these stories also vary in quality. I categorize them into three types. Understanding this classification can help you be one step ahead of most people.

**Type 1: Opportunities Brought by New Concepts**

This is the type I find most fascinating. It corresponds to entirely new technological breakthroughs or conceptual innovations, such as the earlier integration of AI with cryptocurrencies, the rise of decentralized prediction markets, and now RWA (Real-World Asset Tokenization), which also falls into this category.

The characteristics of these projects are quite obvious—they have no historical reference points or precedents, allowing for full imagination. Initially, some will criticize them as scams, while others hype them as the next big trend. Neither side can convince the other. But it’s precisely within these huge cognitive disagreements that opportunities lurk. Because there are no precedents, the price can theoretically rise anywhere. As long as the story hasn’t been disproved, capital dares to keep pouring in.

Looking at prediction markets like Polymarket makes this clear—initially, many people couldn’t understand what this was. Now, trading volume has exploded, with even major exchanges pouring billions of dollars into it. The key is to see through what it truly solves, even when everyone is still skeptical or even generally bearish.
RWA8,49%
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Whale_Whisperervip
· 13h ago
The aunt at the vegetable market explaining code—this meme cracks me up. The crypto world is just like that now, every day is the same. Bro, your argument is basically saying to buy the dip and sell at the peak, right? There are also many people now speculating on RWA. How to tell if we're still in the first stage or about to be disproved? This classification is quite interesting. Next question is how not to get chopped up like leeks.
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AirdropHuntressvip
· 12-27 01:50
Well said, but I think when it comes to RWA, it's still important to consider the project's background... Currently, there are many capital projects using the name RWA to harvest profits.
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InfraVibesvip
· 12-27 01:49
The part where the aunt at the vegetable market talks about code is really amazing. Every bull market in the crypto circle is like this, with a bunch of newbies rushing in. It's actually a game of cognitive gaps—those who see it early make money, while followers take the bait. RWA this wave probably follows the same logic. The Polymarket example is pretty good; indeed, many people initially couldn't understand it at all, and now everyone is trading. The most feared moment is when everyone is optimistic—at that point, your opponents are everyone.
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ImaginaryWhalevip
· 12-27 01:46
This vegetable market auntie's analogy is spot on. Now everywhere you see "crypto circle masters" talking about narratives they don't even understand themselves... --- RWA is really at the forefront this round, but there are too many projects throwing money at stories. Be careful not to get cut. --- Polymarket indeed didn't show much value this time. It's being hyped like a trend; you still need to find the one with the biggest cognitive divergence. --- It's easy to tell stories, but the problem is how to distinguish which story can actually land in the end. It's not just another "next Bitcoin" routine. --- Wait... Doesn't this mean retail investors are ultimately just lifting institutions on their shoulders? Feels like I've been always taking the fall.
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MEVHunterXvip
· 12-27 01:38
Really, the phrase the auntie used about coding was spot on. That's how the crypto world is now. Honestly, I can't quite see through this wave of RWA; it feels like just another new concept to cut the leeks. Polymarket is indeed impressive, but you really need to keep your composure when bottom-fishing. Anyone can tell stories, but the key is to distinguish whether it's a bubble or a real opportunity—that's tough. The greater the cognitive divergence, the more the opportunity? This logic has some substance.
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