2025-12-26 23:40:24

On the Polymarket prediction platform, traders are currently pricing in an 88% probability that the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady when it announces its decision on January 28. This strong consensus reflects market expectations ahead of the FOMC meeting, which typically moves crypto markets as investors recalibrate risk positions based on Fed policy direction.

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SmartContractPhobia

· 12-27 06:47

88% chance of holding, the market has already priced it in, just waiting for the official announcement on the 28th, then it will be reshuffled again.

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AirdropDreamer

· 12-27 00:05

88%? That's not a small number at all. It seems the market has long since assumed the Fed will keep its stance unchanged.

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ZKProofster

· 12-27 00:04

88% though? ngl that feels like people are just sleeping on tail risks here. technically speaking, the market's pricing in way too much certainty imo... fed decisions aren't exactly a trustless oracle you know

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FrontRunFighter

· 12-26 23:54

88% consensus on rates? nah that's literally the dark forest talking—everyone's already positioned, it's a setup for the real frontrunning to happen once Powell opens his mouth. polymarket pricing in this stuff means the sandwich attacks are already queued up waiting for that announcement.

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NewPumpamentals

· 12-26 23:48

88%? That feels too high. There are always black swan events.

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TokenRationEater

· 12-26 23:47

88% probability, is that stable enough? I feel like the Fed is still holding something back...

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ChainChef

· 12-26 23:46

88% feels like everyone's already got the same ingredient measured out... but tbh the market's usually half-baked when it reaches this much consensus lmao. what's cooking behind closed doors at the fed tho? 👀

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TopBuyerBottomSeller

· 12-26 23:41

88% chance of lying flat, this time the Fed better behave itself.

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