On-chain prediction markets are capturing real-time sentiment on major geopolitical developments. Current trading data indicates a 90% probability assigned to Thailand and Cambodia establishing a ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2026, with odds shifting sharply higher in recent sessions. This demonstrates how decentralized prediction platforms are increasingly functioning as alternative information markets, allowing traders to directly price their expectations on major global events. The sharp probability movement reflects recent trading activity and updated market sentiment on the negotiations.