The silver vault in London is being gradually emptied. This Friday, spot silver broke through $75 per ounce, hitting a new all-time high for five consecutive trading days, with this year's increase soaring to 161%.
What's even crazier? Traders are forced to charter transoceanic cargo planes, rushing to airlift hundreds of kilograms of silver bars. This scene feels familiar—2020 dollar liquidity storm, 2023 US debt crisis... but this time, the main character is silver.
Why is this happening? Essentially, it's because "paper silver" (contracts) and "physical silver" (real gold and silver) have become completely disconnected.
Look at this data to understand: the 1-year silver swap rate minus the US benchmark interest rate has plummeted to -7.18%. In normal years, considering storage and insurance costs, forward silver should be more expensive than spot. But now, it's the other way around—spot premium is 7%, indicating the market is desperately trying to get hold of real silver.
The root cause lies in inventory. Data from the London Bullion Market Association shows that silver inventories have shrunk by 75% from their 2019 peak, with only about 200 million ounces freely available for trading. Tight supply on the one hand, and such strong demand on the other, are widening the gap between paper contracts and physical assets.
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PerpetualLonger
· 17h ago
Oh no, a 75% drop in inventory? That's the real bottom signal. I knew that paper silver and physical silver would eventually diverge and explode. Now it's finally happening. A 161% increase is just the beginning. Hold your full position in silver and stay put.
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GasFeeSobber
· 12-26 23:50
The disconnect between paper silver and physical silver has reached this level, truly a systemic issue... Is it really true that inventories have plummeted by 75%?
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TopEscapeArtist
· 12-26 23:48
Paper silver has plummeted, but the spot market is soaring. The gap is so big it could fly a plane haha. I've long seen this as a head and shoulders top pattern, and now someone finally believes it.
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SerumDegen
· 12-26 23:39
nah bro this is the setup we've been watching for... paper getting absolutely liquidated by physical reality. -7.18% basis? that's not a market signal, that's a capitulation scream. seen this movie before and it never ends well for the leverage crowd.
The silver vault in London is being gradually emptied. This Friday, spot silver broke through $75 per ounce, hitting a new all-time high for five consecutive trading days, with this year's increase soaring to 161%.
What's even crazier? Traders are forced to charter transoceanic cargo planes, rushing to airlift hundreds of kilograms of silver bars. This scene feels familiar—2020 dollar liquidity storm, 2023 US debt crisis... but this time, the main character is silver.
Why is this happening? Essentially, it's because "paper silver" (contracts) and "physical silver" (real gold and silver) have become completely disconnected.
Look at this data to understand: the 1-year silver swap rate minus the US benchmark interest rate has plummeted to -7.18%. In normal years, considering storage and insurance costs, forward silver should be more expensive than spot. But now, it's the other way around—spot premium is 7%, indicating the market is desperately trying to get hold of real silver.
The root cause lies in inventory. Data from the London Bullion Market Association shows that silver inventories have shrunk by 75% from their 2019 peak, with only about 200 million ounces freely available for trading. Tight supply on the one hand, and such strong demand on the other, are widening the gap between paper contracts and physical assets.