2025-12-26 22:21:11

A recent reversal in the prediction market is worth paying close attention to for all crypto enthusiasts focused on macro policies.

White House economic advisor Haskett's win rate in the prediction market plummeted from 81% in early December to 41%—this is not just a numerical change; it reflects Wall Street's true attitude towards the Federal Reserve's independence. Meanwhile, former Fed Governor Wosh's support rate surged from 11% to 47%, with the rapid turnaround catching everyone off guard.

The irony here is that Haskett's initial trump card—his close relationship with the current president—has become his Achilles' heel. Investors are beginning to worry: if the "president's confidant" takes the helm at the Fed, how will the bond market react? They fear runaway inflation expectations, which could push up long-term interest rates. This directly contradicts management's goal of "reducing financing costs."

Even more absurd is Haskett's self-rescue attempt. He has recently been frequently stating that "the Federal Reserve must maintain independence."

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HallucinationGrower

· 12-26 22:50

This reversal speed is incredible, dropping from 81% to 41%. Wall Street is still worried about independence being shaken.

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MEV_Whisperer

· 12-26 22:50

Haha, this reversal is too intense, dropping from 81% directly to 41%. Wall Street really chickened out this time. Investors are actually betting on independence; no one wants to see the Federal Reserve become a political tool. Out-of-control inflation would be the real nightmare. Isn't it ironic? The closer to the president, the worse it gets. This game is played quite deeply.

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DaisyUnicorn

· 12-26 22:49

Hasset's self-rescue move this time is truly brilliant. From the president's confidant to an "independent guardian," does Wall Street buy this? The bond market has already spoken.

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SelfCustodyBro

· 12-26 22:48

Hasset's move is really clever—first riding the president's coattails, now rushing to distance himself... The market is always honest; a 81% drop directly halved to 41%, investors' minds are as clear as a mirror.

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SnapshotBot

· 12-26 22:24

Wow, this reversal is too incredible. Wall Street is still afraid of runaway inflation... As soon as interest rates rise, it's game over.

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