#数字资产市场动态 December 26 midday BTC technical analysis and trading ideas

Based on current real-time market data (current price 88799.9, intraday high 89432.0, intraday low 86824.8), combined with the fund flow before and after the 23.6 billion options expiration, here are several key technical signals and trading opportunities for the midday:

**1. Quick Overview of Technical Points**

From the low of 86824.8 to the high of 89432.0, the rapid rally shows strong momentum. However, looking closely at the volume, it increased during the upward move and did not shrink much during the decline, indicating significant selling pressure. Profit-taking is happening, and bears are waiting for opportunities. In the short term, a single-sided trend is unlikely; more probable is consolidation and oscillation.

Post-expiration, market sentiment remains cautious. Although the options settlement has released some selling pressure, there is no obvious influx of new funds, and the market lacks fresh momentum support.

**2. Specific Support and Resistance Levels**

**Key Support Zones:**
- 88500-88700: This range is the consolidation center after the recent rally; a short-term rebound followed by a pullback is likely to find support here.
- 88000-88200: The real strong support. If broken, the previous rebound zone at 87500-87800 needs to be watched.

**Key Resistance Zones:**
- 89000-89200: The first "ceiling" for today’s rebound, showing clear signs of resistance after a rally and pullback.
- 89400-89500 (near the intraday high): The real strong resistance. Breaking through here requires significant volume and must also absorb the selling pressure from options expiration, which is challenging.

**3. Trading Ideas for Two Directions**

**Bullish Entry Strategy:**
When BTC pulls back to the key support of 88500-88700, wait for a "stability signal" — such as a hammer reversal pattern or a bullish engulfing candle. Once such a signal appears, consider going long, with a stop-loss below 88000 (to protect against risk).

How to set target prices? First, look at the 89000-89400 range. If this is broken smoothly, then aim for the higher target of 89500-90000.

**Bearish Entry Strategy:**
If BTC rebounds to the resistance zone of 89000-89200, wait for a "high resistance" signal — such as a shooting star (price breaks above but gets pushed back) or a bearish engulfing candle (reversal after a rally). Seeing such signals can justify short positions, with a stop-loss above 89500 (to prevent false breakouts).

Target prices? First, see if the price can hold above 88500-88700 after a pullback. If it breaks below, then look toward lower levels like 88000-88200.

**4. Overall Intraday Outlook**

In summary, BTC is most likely to oscillate within the broad range of 88500-89200 during the midday session, facing resistance above and support below. This reflects the natural digestion of the rapid intraday rally and the market’s cautious mood after options expiry.

In such a volatile range-bound environment, entering near the support and resistance boundaries is more reliable than blindly chasing breakouts. Consider going long on support confirmations and short on resistance confirmations. The key is to wait for clear signals and avoid rushing the rhythm.