Yesterday at 3 a.m., a trader friend suddenly sent a voice message, his voice trembling: "We're doomed. I’ve all-in on the surge in weekly options, Bitcoin is stuck at 87k and not moving, my account can’t hold much longer!" I asked if he had set a stop-loss, and he fell silent.
I've seen this kind of thing too many times. Whenever large options are approaching expiration, there’s always a wave of people trying to bet on the direction, only to become the "springboard" for market volatility.
But my account was very stable that day. Not because I blindly guessed the price movement correctly, but because half a year ago, I allocated 80% of my Bitcoin holdings into a volatility-neutral strategy. Today, I will fully break down this approach that remains "rock solid" amidst the waves of options trading.
**$23.6 billion in options expiring—why is this not risk but an opportunity?**
Ordinary investors see the "largest options expiration in history" and think only of risk. But if you understand the logic of volatility, you see a completely different picture.
First layer of opportunity: capturing volatility premiums. Three days before options expiration, implied volatility (IV) must spike. My approach is to position in advance, while simultaneously selling both 87k call and put options—this is called a straddle strategy. What’s the result? Even if Bitcoin’s price remains unchanged, the time decay over just three days can yield an annualized return of 8.2%, fully offsetting the holding costs.
Second layer of opportunity: market maker hedging path prediction. Market makers for options hedge dynamically in the spot market to manage risk. Their operations are sufficiently systematic; if you can position yourself ahead at key price levels, you can profit from this systematic hedging.
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OldLeekNewSickle
· 2h ago
Oh no, here it comes again, this set of "I'm very steady" talk... Our friend’s account got wiped out, let's sympathize, but no matter how eloquently this move is explained, it's still a gamble. It's just that the betting method has changed its style.
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WinterWarmthCat
· 10h ago
Wow, this friend is really outrageous. Still dancing at 3 a.m... I just want to ask, is setting stop-loss really that difficult?
Another story of being completely eaten up by options. But your volatility-neutral strategy is indeed impressive; half-year deployment is really aggressive.
How to put it, this 23.6 billion yuan in options settlement is basically a slaughterhouse for most people, but for those who understand the game, it's a cash machine... the difference is huge.
Selling straddle options to volatility, sounds easy but requires a strong mindset to do. Eating 89k with an 8.2 annualized return, I feel like I’m just telling stories—should verify with real trading?
I believe in market makers hedging, but to position well for this kind of thing, you still need good market sense and luck. Talking on paper is always easier.
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UncleWhale
· 10h ago
It's that same volatility-neutral vibe again, sounds very professional but honestly most people can't even play it. My friend also went all-in on options and ended up blowing up, what's the point of setting stop-losses haha
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UncommonNPC
· 10h ago
It's the same story of volatility premium again, hearing it so many times that my ears are getting calloused.
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failed_dev_successful_ape
· 10h ago
Another brag post of "I'm very confident"... but volatility-neutral strategies definitely outperform those all-in gamblers.
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PretendingSerious
· 10h ago
Even after setting stop-losses, you can still lose this much? It shows that gambling instincts outweigh rationality, and this is the magic of leverage.
Yesterday at 3 a.m., a trader friend suddenly sent a voice message, his voice trembling: "We're doomed. I’ve all-in on the surge in weekly options, Bitcoin is stuck at 87k and not moving, my account can’t hold much longer!" I asked if he had set a stop-loss, and he fell silent.
I've seen this kind of thing too many times. Whenever large options are approaching expiration, there’s always a wave of people trying to bet on the direction, only to become the "springboard" for market volatility.
But my account was very stable that day. Not because I blindly guessed the price movement correctly, but because half a year ago, I allocated 80% of my Bitcoin holdings into a volatility-neutral strategy. Today, I will fully break down this approach that remains "rock solid" amidst the waves of options trading.
**$23.6 billion in options expiring—why is this not risk but an opportunity?**
Ordinary investors see the "largest options expiration in history" and think only of risk. But if you understand the logic of volatility, you see a completely different picture.
First layer of opportunity: capturing volatility premiums. Three days before options expiration, implied volatility (IV) must spike. My approach is to position in advance, while simultaneously selling both 87k call and put options—this is called a straddle strategy. What’s the result? Even if Bitcoin’s price remains unchanged, the time decay over just three days can yield an annualized return of 8.2%, fully offsetting the holding costs.
Second layer of opportunity: market maker hedging path prediction. Market makers for options hedge dynamically in the spot market to manage risk. Their operations are sufficiently systematic; if you can position yourself ahead at key price levels, you can profit from this systematic hedging.