The recent statements by Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda have completely rewritten market expectations regarding its policy direction.
In a speech at the Economic Planning Agency, this previously considered "dovish" central bank leader suddenly adopted a more hawkish tone. He pointed out that wages are rising, prices are running high, and the 2% inflation target has been achieved, while real interest rates remain deeply negative. The implication behind this statement is clear: continuing to maintain negative interest rate policy is no longer tenable in the face of inflation.
How did the market react? A week ago, during a press conference, Ueda was cautious in his words, but traders had already sensed the shift, and the yen depreciated against the dollar to 157. After this speech, Wall Street's short positions began to wail—the foundation of Carry Trade is starting to loosen.
What does this mean? Japan's over thirty-year era of zero and negative interest rates is officially counting down. The yen's role as a "free ATM" is about to end, and Japan's bonds, once known as the "world's lowest-yield junk bonds," are also set to be redefined.
From a market perspective, global capital is rapidly re-evaluating Japanese assets overnight. For traders holding short positions in yen, this is a signal that must be taken seriously. Ueda's next move is likely to be a genuine rate hike.
How this shift in monetary policy will affect global liquidity and risk asset allocation remains to be seen.
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blockBoy
· 2h ago
Damn, is the carry trade about to end? Japan is really going to raise interest rates.
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CounterIndicator
· 9h ago
The dovish suddenly turn hawkish, I've seen this trick before, in the end it's all talk tough, act soft
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GweiWatcher
· 9h ago
Wow, is the Bank of Japan really going to take serious action? Is the carry trade about to collapse? My short position finally has a chance!
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DAOTruant
· 9h ago
Doves suddenly turn hawkish, Japanese players are about to gg
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rugpull_ptsd
· 9h ago
Whoa, the dovish suddenly turned hawkish, is the carry trade about to explode?
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MoonRocketTeam
· 9h ago
The Japanese Yen is about to take off, and the carry trade's free lunch is finally coming to an end.
Friends shorting the Yen, start loading supplies and prepare to quickly escape the orbit.
Ueda finally stops pretending; after thirty years of negative interest rates, it's time to say goodbye. The orbit needs recalibration.
Stay tuned, global liquidity is about to burn quite intensely this time.
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FlashLoanLarry
· 9h ago
Whoa, the dovish stance suddenly hardened? Is Japan's thirty-year "free lunch" really coming to an end?
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ChainWallflower
· 9h ago
Ueda's recent shift really caught everyone off guard; carry trade investors should be on alert.
The recent statements by Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda have completely rewritten market expectations regarding its policy direction.
In a speech at the Economic Planning Agency, this previously considered "dovish" central bank leader suddenly adopted a more hawkish tone. He pointed out that wages are rising, prices are running high, and the 2% inflation target has been achieved, while real interest rates remain deeply negative. The implication behind this statement is clear: continuing to maintain negative interest rate policy is no longer tenable in the face of inflation.
How did the market react? A week ago, during a press conference, Ueda was cautious in his words, but traders had already sensed the shift, and the yen depreciated against the dollar to 157. After this speech, Wall Street's short positions began to wail—the foundation of Carry Trade is starting to loosen.
What does this mean? Japan's over thirty-year era of zero and negative interest rates is officially counting down. The yen's role as a "free ATM" is about to end, and Japan's bonds, once known as the "world's lowest-yield junk bonds," are also set to be redefined.
From a market perspective, global capital is rapidly re-evaluating Japanese assets overnight. For traders holding short positions in yen, this is a signal that must be taken seriously. Ueda's next move is likely to be a genuine rate hike.
How this shift in monetary policy will affect global liquidity and risk asset allocation remains to be seen.