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Today (12.26) ETH Key Conclusions: Slightly weak oscillation, light positions for high sell and low buy, strict risk control;
Key Levels (USDT-based)
- Support: 2900-2880 (strong support), 2850 (if broken, look towards 2800)
- Resistance: 2980-3000 (strong resistance), 3030 (breakthrough to look towards 3080)
Trading Strategies
- Spot (conservative)
- Stabilize after a pullback to 2900-2880: try small long positions, stop loss at 2870, take profit at 2980-3000, gradually reduce positions
- Face resistance at 2980-3000: reduce positions gradually, take profit at 3000-3030, avoid chasing highs
- No clear signals: observe with light positions, no more than 30% of total, avoid heavy bets on direction
- Futures (aggressive)
- Range: high sell and low buy within 2880-3000, quick in and out, position size ≤ 10% of total per trade
- Stop loss: long at 2870, short at 3010, do not hold positions overnight, prevent slippage caused by liquidity risks during holidays
- Avoid: chasing highs and selling lows, avoid overnight positions, be cautious of abnormal volatility caused by liquidity drying up during holidays
Risk Warning
- Macro: Federal Reserve policy remains tight, year-end capital repatriation, cautious sentiment prevails
- Market: Strong correlation with BTC, its breakdown will lead ETH to move in the same direction
- Position: Strict position management and stop loss, cryptocurrency volatility is high, profits and losses are at your own risk