#美联储联邦公开市场委员会决议 BEAT current price is 2.7698. Starting from the low of 1.3065, this wave of market rally has nearly 90% increase, approaching the previous high of 2.8190. A clear "V-shaped" reversal has formed on the 4-hour chart — but this rapid surge is essentially driven by short-term traders and short covering, with no fundamental support.

The problem is that short-term profit-taking has accumulated too much. Every time it approaches a high level, selling pressure becomes very fierce. The 2.7800 to 2.8200 range has become a solid barrier for the rebound — it is both a previous resistance level and a psychological resonance zone. If it cannot break through, the probability of a downward move will be high.

Looking downward, the 2.4000 to 2.5000 range is the first critical support. This was the consolidation platform during the previous rally, with very concentrated chips. If this range is truly broken, the downward space will directly extend to the 2.0000 to 2.2000 zone.

The Federal Reserve's policy direction will also influence short-term risk appetite. The current strategy is still to avoid chasing highs — once the rebound reaches the 2.7600 to 2.8100 range, consider gradually opening short positions, with a stop-loss above 3.500, targeting below 2.2000.