#数字资产生态回暖 How scary is quantum computing? This question has been discussed in the crypto community for years, but a recent institutional study offers a relatively calm answer — there's no need to panic excessively right now.

In theory, quantum computers can indeed break the current security defenses of blockchain. Cryptographic mechanisms like elliptic curve digital signatures and hash algorithms would become useless against sufficiently powerful quantum computers. It sounds terrifying, but here’s the key issue: truly practical quantum computers capable of threatening encryption systems won't be built within the next ten years.

Instead of worrying about issues a decade or more down the road, it’s better to focus on the present. Existing vulnerabilities in blockchain protocols, weaknesses in wallet security, and risks in transaction systems are real threats. Fixing these problems is more urgent than anything else.

As for switching to quantum-resistant encryption algorithms, it should be done gradually. Upgrading underlying protocols, all wallets, and full platform compatibility — this is a major ecosystem-level overhaul, requiring huge investments and prone to mistakes. The most sensible approach now is to prepare technically and plan for the long term, avoiding reckless moves.

The main takeaway from this study is simple: don’t be scared by new risks; first, solve the old problems. Security starts with strengthening the fundamentals.