#美联储降息 Ten years of sharpening the sword, six million is not a stroke of luck from heaven, but a lesson piled up from repeated losses. If you insist on me explaining how to stay alive and still make money, it’s actually very heartbreaking—it’s using the simplest and most straightforward rules to deal with this infinitely complex market.

My approach isn’t high-end; it can be summarized in three words: look at the rally list, observe trends, and stick to discipline.

**First Trick: Only watch coins on the rally list**

Funds have eyes. Coins that make it onto the rally list at least indicate that they are alive and attracting attention during this period. Conversely, those coins that haven’t been looked at for half a year? Forget it, don’t expect a turnaround from lurking. $PIPPIN, $BTC, $ETH —these lively coins are worth paying attention to.

**Second Trick: Monthly chart determines life or death**

Daily fluctuations are too fragmented and easy to be fooled by false breakouts. I only focus on whether the MACD on the monthly chart shows a golden cross—that’s a preliminary confirmation of the trend. No golden cross? I wait. No matter how anxious, I wait. Staying out is better than impulsively acting. Follow the big trend, and treat small fluctuations as nonexistent.

**Third Trick: 60-day moving average is support**

When the price retraces to the 60-day moving average and is accompanied by increased volume to support it? That’s my cue to add positions. It indicates that the trend still has vitality and the support levels are holding.

**Fourth Trick: Fixed stop-loss and take-profit**

This is the easiest to implement but also the hardest to stick to:
- When profit reaches 30%, sell half to lock in gains
- When it reaches 50%, sell half again and let the remaining position run freely
- If it breaks below the 60-day moving average, sell everything without hesitation

By doing these, no trade will slip from profit into loss.

**The last hurdle: execution ability**

Many understand the rules, but few can follow them like robots. Greed inflates the illusion of “earning more,” while fear urges you to “grit your teeth and hold on a little longer.” Ironically, all profits come precisely at moments when you overcome these human weaknesses.

The market keeps changing, the trend keeps changing, but human emotions and desires never do. Using unchanging discipline to face the ever-changing market is what qualifies you to be among the few who survive.