#数字资产生态回暖 In the volatility of the crypto market, many are looking for a relatively stable trading method. Technical analysis, while not万能, can indeed help us make more rational decisions in the face of major trends. Here are some tested ideas in actual trading.
**Signals to Identify Market Support Positions**
When the broader market experiences a significant pullback, observing the performance of your held tokens is crucial. If a particular coin only experiences minor adjustments amid a market decline, it often indicates that main funds are maintaining its price. Such coins tend to be more resistant to跌. In the long term, these assets are indeed more worth关注.
**Using Moving Average Systems for Simple Decisions**
Many people overcomplicate trading logic. In fact, short-term can参考5-day moving average — if the price stays above, hold; if it breaks below, consider退出. For mid-term, watch the20-day moving average, following the same principle. This method seems simple, but the key is to enforce it strictly without being influenced by emotions.
**Timing Entry After Trend Formation**
When a coin's main upward trend has already been established and trading volume hasn't yet significantly increased, it's usually a good entry point. If volume continues to rise and the price surges, continue holding; if volume decreases while the trend remains intact, patience is also advised. However, once volume drops sharply and breaks below关键支撑, decisive减少持仓 is necessary.
**Discipline for Short-term Positions**
The first three days after a短线 buy-in are critical — if the price shows no明显变动, selling might be a good choice. Additionally, stop-loss must be executed unconditionally; a 5%的亏损 should trigger割肉. It sounds残酷, but it effectively prevents small losses from becoming大亏.
**Opportunities in Oversold Rebounds**
When a coin drops more than 50% from its high and continues to decline for over一周, it often indicates that the market has been过度杀跌. At this point, a rebound can start at any time, offering机会 for daring底部抄底 investors.
**Advantages and Strategies for Leading Coins**
Market-leading projects typically have the strongest涨幅 but also the最强抗跌能力. Many make the mistake of追高 or过度关注涨跌幅度 — these are all陷阱. The correct approach is to enter leading coins at关键支撑位 and then离场 at higher resistance levels. Don't盲目接盘 because of large跌幅, nor miss opportunities because of quick上涨.
**Core of Trend-following Trading**
The most common mistake in trading is trying to抄底. In a downtrend, don’t obsess over finding the最低点, but recognize the整体方向. The buying price isn't necessarily the最低, but should be based on proper technical entries. Also, be敢于放弃those coins whose fundamentals and technicals don't align.
**Mindset and Risk Management**
Short-term profits can easily lead to impulsiveness, but consistent and stable earning is the real skill. Review each trade, distinguish whether gains came from运气 or系统. Building a suitable, proven trading system is far more important than chasing暴利.
When confidence is insufficient, holding空仓 is also a合理选择. Many overlook this and always want to be in the market. In reality, learning to等待 is more difficult and more important than频繁交易. Trading first requires protecting本金, and profits will follow naturally. The standard to evaluate trading能力 isn't trade frequency but成功率.
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MEVvictim
· 12-13 16:36
Moving average stop-loss sounds right, but how many people really cut at 5%?
Honestly, the hardest part is not to get tempted. Being able to go entirely into cash even at a daily limit down is the mark of a true expert.
I agree that leading coins are more resistant to declines, but how to determine the support level is the real key...
Frequent trading is truly a slum, or as the saying goes—being in cash is also a position.
Those trying to catch the bottom usually buy halfway up the mountain. Recognizing the trend is much more important than finding the lowest point.
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blockBoy
· 12-13 09:37
Listen, I really agree with the 5% stop loss, but I still find it hard to judge the rebound part.
That's right, leading stocks are resistant to decline, but how do you find the key support levels? I'm always caught off guard.
The moving average strategy is indeed useful, but only if you can endure it. I usually can't stick to it beyond the third day before I start feeling itchy.
Being completely out of the market is probably the hardest, always feeling that as soon as you're out, it will rise. Looking back, the losses are even greater than the trading losses.
Protection signals? I usually can't react in time, by the time I notice, they've already run away.
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GasFeeCryer
· 12-13 09:33
You're right, the 5% stop-loss rule has really saved me multiple times. I'm just worried that some people might read this and still fail to fix their habit of manually holding onto losing positions.
The phrase "Even holding no position can make money" really resonated with me. I used to chase every single trade daily, but a month of effort was all for nothing.
That part about the leading coins was excellent. Chasing high is truly a foolish move; it's better to wait for key levels to enter.
This set of logic is really about strict discipline, but why is it so hard to stick to? When prices go up, I want to chase; when they go down, I want to bottom fish.
Reviewing past trades is very important, but few people actually do it. Most celebrate with champagne when they make money and curse the market when they lose.
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GhostInTheChain
· 12-13 09:29
That's right, capital preservation is the key. I've lost a lot in these two months because of greedy chasing highs.
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The moving average strategy is indeed effective, but it's easy to be tempted when executing. After a rebound, I want to wait a bit longer.
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Bottom-fishing is the easiest way to get caught in a trap. I used to always try to buy at the lowest point. Now I only enter after confirming a rebound signal.
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Leading coins are stable, but the problem is that you can never find the right entry point. After selling, you always regret it.
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Holding no position is actually the most advanced trading skill. Unfortunately, not many can resist doing so.
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Well, a 5% stop loss sounds simple, but it really means taking a cut. It’s heartbreaking.
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Add to positions when the trend is right. Holding against the trend is the real reason for losses.
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Coins that are supported by major players do resist declines, but you also need to see whether the support is genuine or fake.
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Rugpull幸存者
· 12-13 09:25
That's right, stop-loss is real… I didn't cut at 5% that time, and it resulted in a -30% drop. I'm still reflecting on it.
The key is to recognize the trend clearly, don't always think about catching the bottom; I used to have this problem.
Moving averages are really useful, simple and straightforward. With strong execution, you can make money. It feels more reliable than all those fancy indicators.
Overbought rebounds do have opportunities, but it depends on the combination of fundamentals and technical analysis. Otherwise, it's just getting trapped. Too many lessons learned.
The leading coins still need to stick to discipline. Don't be greedy when they rise, don't buy the dip when they fall. Buy at support levels, sell at resistance levels. Easy to say, hard to do.
Holding a position for a long time feels uncomfortable, but it's more comfortable than being trapped. Learned a lot.
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WagmiWarrior
· 12-13 09:24
Here comes the theory of cutting leeks again. Is the 5-day moving average really effective? Why am I still losing...
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It sounds good, but I just can't control my hands. I need to make dozens of trades a day, can't stop, brother.
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Buying the dip, always getting trapped. Can this oversold rebound really happen this time? I have no idea.
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The leading coins are indeed more resistant to drops. If I had known, I wouldn't have chased those worthless coins — a painful lesson.
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Is holding no position also trading? I never thought of that. Being always in the market feels like gambling every day.
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A 5% stop loss sounds easy, but when it really drops, I can't bring myself to cut — it's so torturous.
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Is the protection signal reliable? It seems like every coin has someone protecting it, can't tell the difference.
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What's the use of reviewing? When losing, there are plenty of reasons; when winning, it's all luck.
View OriginalReply0
FlippedSignal
· 12-13 09:14
You're right, discipline is key. I'm most afraid of those who trade frequently; it looks like they're making money, but they're actually just paying fees.
The 5-day moving average strategy is indeed effective, but the problem is that most people can't stick to it. They chase after gains when the price rises and try to buy the dip when it falls.
Those oversold rebounds are indeed tempting, but I care more about volume. Rebounds without volume are all fake.
Holding no position is the hardest decision, but it's also the most profitable. Not many understand this.
It's correct that leading coins resist declines, but only if you're really buying at support levels, not chasing high prices.
The 5% stop-loss suggestion is too harsh. Most people simply can't do it; they want to wait and see if they can recover their losses.
Selling if you've held a position for three days and haven't moved? That sounds easy to say but hard to do in practice. You need mental resilience.
#数字资产生态回暖 In the volatility of the crypto market, many are looking for a relatively stable trading method. Technical analysis, while not万能, can indeed help us make more rational decisions in the face of major trends. Here are some tested ideas in actual trading.
**Signals to Identify Market Support Positions**
When the broader market experiences a significant pullback, observing the performance of your held tokens is crucial. If a particular coin only experiences minor adjustments amid a market decline, it often indicates that main funds are maintaining its price. Such coins tend to be more resistant to跌. In the long term, these assets are indeed more worth关注.
**Using Moving Average Systems for Simple Decisions**
Many people overcomplicate trading logic. In fact, short-term can参考5-day moving average — if the price stays above, hold; if it breaks below, consider退出. For mid-term, watch the20-day moving average, following the same principle. This method seems simple, but the key is to enforce it strictly without being influenced by emotions.
**Timing Entry After Trend Formation**
When a coin's main upward trend has already been established and trading volume hasn't yet significantly increased, it's usually a good entry point. If volume continues to rise and the price surges, continue holding; if volume decreases while the trend remains intact, patience is also advised. However, once volume drops sharply and breaks below关键支撑, decisive减少持仓 is necessary.
**Discipline for Short-term Positions**
The first three days after a短线 buy-in are critical — if the price shows no明显变动, selling might be a good choice. Additionally, stop-loss must be executed unconditionally; a 5%的亏损 should trigger割肉. It sounds残酷, but it effectively prevents small losses from becoming大亏.
**Opportunities in Oversold Rebounds**
When a coin drops more than 50% from its high and continues to decline for over一周, it often indicates that the market has been过度杀跌. At this point, a rebound can start at any time, offering机会 for daring底部抄底 investors.
**Advantages and Strategies for Leading Coins**
Market-leading projects typically have the strongest涨幅 but also the最强抗跌能力. Many make the mistake of追高 or过度关注涨跌幅度 — these are all陷阱. The correct approach is to enter leading coins at关键支撑位 and then离场 at higher resistance levels. Don't盲目接盘 because of large跌幅, nor miss opportunities because of quick上涨.
**Core of Trend-following Trading**
The most common mistake in trading is trying to抄底. In a downtrend, don’t obsess over finding the最低点, but recognize the整体方向. The buying price isn't necessarily the最低, but should be based on proper technical entries. Also, be敢于放弃those coins whose fundamentals and technicals don't align.
**Mindset and Risk Management**
Short-term profits can easily lead to impulsiveness, but consistent and stable earning is the real skill. Review each trade, distinguish whether gains came from运气 or系统. Building a suitable, proven trading system is far more important than chasing暴利.
When confidence is insufficient, holding空仓 is also a合理选择. Many overlook this and always want to be in the market. In reality, learning to等待 is more difficult and more important than频繁交易. Trading first requires protecting本金, and profits will follow naturally. The standard to evaluate trading能力 isn't trade frequency but成功率.