#比特币价格分析 Looking back at the price trend of Bitcoin over the past few years, it truly evokes a multitude of emotions. It has now fallen back to around $85,000, indicating that it has entered a secondary bottoming phase. The combined impact of policies, interest rate hikes, and taxation has caused significant shocks to the market. However, having experienced multiple bull and bear cycles, I remain relatively calm. History tends to repeat itself, and each cycle follows a similar pattern.

Based on technical analysis, Bitcoin has broken below the upward channel. In the short term, there may be a rebound, but it is highly likely to accelerate downward again afterward. I estimate the low point could be around $83,000, which aligns with the expected support line and secondary bottoming. For large funds, there’s no need to rush into operations now. If a bear market truly begins, preserving capital for the winter is the wisest choice.

Recalling the 2018 bear market, Bitcoin dropped from $20,000 to $3,000, causing many to lose confidence. But those who persisted reaped substantial rewards in the subsequent bull market. Although the current situation is somewhat different, the core logic remains the same — markets are cyclical, and after lows come highs.

For ordinary investors, it’s even more important to stay calm and manage risks well during such times. Pay attention to potential opportunities, such as upcoming delistings of certain altcoins that might experience short-term hype. But remember not to over-leverage; proper position sizing is crucial. History shows that maintaining rationality during panic often allows one to seize the advantage in the next bull run.