Recently, while reviewing trading records, I noticed a quite strange phenomenon: during the daytime monitoring, assets like ETH, XRP, and ZEC either drift downward or trade sideways, frustrating traders. It's hard to make more than a couple of points, and then they get knocked back down. But once it hits late night and early morning, the market suddenly comes alive, with price surges doubling or more, leaving people stunned.
Later, I researched global trading data and indeed found some insights. Traders in Asia are generally more conservative, with a high proportion of retail investors, leading to heavy short-term profit-taking pressure, which keeps prices from rising during the day. When European and American institutions start their work hours, genuine capital begins to enter the market, and the momentum becomes noticeably different.
More importantly, the time difference causes information asymmetry. Key market-moving news like Federal Reserve policies, SEC regulatory updates, and comments from Wall Street bigwigs are mostly released during Western trading hours. Once these news hits the market, combined with high liquidity periods, the market often takes off immediately.
There's also a technical reason: quantitative bots and large traders prefer to operate at night. When liquidity is ample, they can push prices up more efficiently, with smaller slippage and controlled costs. That's why we often see sudden volume surges around 2 or 3 a.m.
But, on the other hand, the market isn't foolproof. Once the "rise at night" becomes a consensus, the chances of reverse trapping and harvesting increases significantly. I've personally suffered from this—watching ETH steady before bed, only to wake up and find my stop-loss triggered.
So, my advice to everyone is: don’t focus solely on time periods, and always combine technical analysis with news sentiment. Especially pay attention to policy shifts in the US. Leverage trading requires extra caution; big swings at night can easily wipe out your account if you're not careful.
Markets follow patterns, but these patterns can also be exploited. Staying alert is more important than chasing hot spots.
(Markets carry risks. The above is only personal observation and not investment advice.)
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BlockchainArchaeologist
· 12-12 02:50
I believed it the moment I got caught at 3 a.m. The rules really can backfire.
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DegenDreamer
· 12-12 02:49
Really, the surge in the early morning was incredible, and the downward momentum during the day was simply incomparable.
Exactly, institutional participation is a whole different game; retail traders just can't hold those chips.
When the Federal Reserve releases news, the market takes off immediately. With such a clear time zone advantage, no one can avoid it.
But the most frustrating thing is reverse probing; I'm just worried that after forming a consensus, it will be cut in the opposite direction.
Stability before sleep and explosion in the morning—I’ve fallen for this trap before, and it really messes with your mindset.
Nighttime leverage really requires caution; one mistake and your account could be wiped out.
Patterns are becoming more and more vulnerable to manipulation; you need to pay more attention to policy developments.
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MetaMasked
· 12-12 02:46
The tactic of pulling the market at dawn has been played out, already reversed and harvested, a bloody lesson.
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To put it simply, institutions are cutting retail investors' leeks; the time-based theory is outdated.
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Nighttime fluctuations are indeed significant, but they don't always go up; in fact, it's easier to get beaten down.
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The news from the Federal Reserve is key, but don’t be the bag-holder—wake up, everyone.
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I used to believe in overnight rises, but I got crushed like a dog; now I don’t pay attention to timing at all.
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Leverage at night is truly a suicide operation; I’ve personally experienced the terror of account zeroing out.
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VCsSuckMyLiquidity
· 12-12 02:34
I was knocked back again at 2 a.m., I don't believe your lies.
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AirdropF5Bro
· 12-12 02:32
In the early hours of two or three a.m., I really can't believe it—the account directly shrank by half.
Bro, your analysis is too heartbreaking. I just got caught up in the curse of "rise at night."
Institutions entering the market are ruthless. No matter how retail investors try to fight, they can't compete.
As soon as the Federal Reserve releases news, I start trembling and can't react in time.
But to be honest, no matter how clear-headed I am, I can't resist the temptation of leverage...
That's why I'm always pressing F5, afraid of missing that wave of takeoff.
The pattern is repeatedly exploited, and in the end, it's us retail investors who suffer.
I just want to ask, is there a way to keep up without staying up all night?
The needle stabbing harvest is truly incredible—just a sleep, and the account is gone.
View OriginalReply0
NFTDreamer
· 12-12 02:30
The surge around 2 or 3 a.m. really resonated with me; how many times have I been cut and doubted life itself?
The moment when everyone agrees that prices will rise overnight is actually a signal of reverse pinning; the market loves to do this.
But to be fair, it really depends on policy trends; actions from the Federal Reserve are more effective than anything else.
Recently, while reviewing trading records, I noticed a quite strange phenomenon: during the daytime monitoring, assets like ETH, XRP, and ZEC either drift downward or trade sideways, frustrating traders. It's hard to make more than a couple of points, and then they get knocked back down. But once it hits late night and early morning, the market suddenly comes alive, with price surges doubling or more, leaving people stunned.
Later, I researched global trading data and indeed found some insights. Traders in Asia are generally more conservative, with a high proportion of retail investors, leading to heavy short-term profit-taking pressure, which keeps prices from rising during the day. When European and American institutions start their work hours, genuine capital begins to enter the market, and the momentum becomes noticeably different.
More importantly, the time difference causes information asymmetry. Key market-moving news like Federal Reserve policies, SEC regulatory updates, and comments from Wall Street bigwigs are mostly released during Western trading hours. Once these news hits the market, combined with high liquidity periods, the market often takes off immediately.
There's also a technical reason: quantitative bots and large traders prefer to operate at night. When liquidity is ample, they can push prices up more efficiently, with smaller slippage and controlled costs. That's why we often see sudden volume surges around 2 or 3 a.m.
But, on the other hand, the market isn't foolproof. Once the "rise at night" becomes a consensus, the chances of reverse trapping and harvesting increases significantly. I've personally suffered from this—watching ETH steady before bed, only to wake up and find my stop-loss triggered.
So, my advice to everyone is: don’t focus solely on time periods, and always combine technical analysis with news sentiment. Especially pay attention to policy shifts in the US. Leverage trading requires extra caution; big swings at night can easily wipe out your account if you're not careful.
Markets follow patterns, but these patterns can also be exploited. Staying alert is more important than chasing hot spots.
(Markets carry risks. The above is only personal observation and not investment advice.)