After BTC's weekend surge and plunge, does the weekly futures price always have a "hole"? This is the so-called CME Gap.
The Chicago Mercantile Exchange's Bitcoin futures close on weekends, but the spot market operates 24/7. If a whale dumps $5,000 on Saturday early morning, by the time Monday futures open, the price can gap up—this "jump" over the range is the gap.
**How do gaps form?** Weekend market closure is the main reason. When futures close, BTC might still be at $58,000, but right at the open, it jumps to $63,000, causing the price range between $60,000 and $62,000 to vanish. Another trigger is sudden news—such as a country suddenly legalizing Bitcoin, or an exchange experiencing a major issue—that can create gaps during market shutdowns.
**Why do traders pay attention to them?** Experienced traders believe a rule: gaps will eventually be filled. Prices seem to have a memory; they tend to return to "fill the hole." For example, a gap at $60,000 often becomes a strong support level—it's easy for prices to bounce back from this level, and if it doesn't break, it signals a buy.
Of course, some gaps never get filled, but most of the time, these gaps serve as important indicators for market sentiment and setting stop-loss levels.
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MetaverseLandlord
· 12-11 03:51
Monday was wrecked again by a gap. The coins I was holding over the weekend just vanished at the open, which is outrageous.
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SerumSurfer
· 12-11 03:48
It's outrageous not to fill the gap; it feels like this hole is going to be filled again.
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NFTHoarder
· 12-11 03:48
It's that same theory again, always saying that gaps need to be filled, but my stop-loss orders have already been hit and wiped out.
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DaoResearcher
· 12-11 03:28
According to the market microstructure analysis in the white paper, the CME Gap essentially reflects the failure of the price discovery mechanism under information asymmetry. Notably, this phenomenon exposes governance vulnerabilities of centralized exchanges.
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MetaMisfit
· 12-11 03:26
This gap is really a trap, I keep falling for it every time.
After BTC's weekend surge and plunge, does the weekly futures price always have a "hole"? This is the so-called CME Gap.
The Chicago Mercantile Exchange's Bitcoin futures close on weekends, but the spot market operates 24/7. If a whale dumps $5,000 on Saturday early morning, by the time Monday futures open, the price can gap up—this "jump" over the range is the gap.
**How do gaps form?**
Weekend market closure is the main reason. When futures close, BTC might still be at $58,000, but right at the open, it jumps to $63,000, causing the price range between $60,000 and $62,000 to vanish. Another trigger is sudden news—such as a country suddenly legalizing Bitcoin, or an exchange experiencing a major issue—that can create gaps during market shutdowns.
**Why do traders pay attention to them?**
Experienced traders believe a rule: gaps will eventually be filled. Prices seem to have a memory; they tend to return to "fill the hole." For example, a gap at $60,000 often becomes a strong support level—it's easy for prices to bounce back from this level, and if it doesn't break, it signals a buy.
Of course, some gaps never get filled, but most of the time, these gaps serve as important indicators for market sentiment and setting stop-loss levels.