2025-12-10 10:20:50

Tonight is destined to be turbulent. The Federal Reserve's December interest rate decision will soon be announced, and the market is all eyes on that expected 25 basis points.

But to be honest, whether they cut or not is no longer the main focus. What really makes people nervous is what signals Powell will send—if it's a hawkish cut, those K-lines on the US stock market that are nearing previous highs could be at risk. Short-term, there has already been accumulated pressure for adjustment; a slight hawkish tone now could instantly dampen market sentiment.

Looking deeper, whether it's hawkish or dovish tonight, whether they cut by 25 basis points or stay put, it's just a minor episode in the expansion cycle. The market will undergo shakeouts and sentiment kills as needed, but this won't change the underlying nature of a slow bull market.

In my opinion, rate cuts alone can't solve the fundamental issues. The real game-changer is when the next round of large-scale QE will start—that's the key variable.

So, in short-term trading, tighten up position management, and the mid- to long-term bullish logic remains unchanged. If BTC surges because of tonight's news, that could be a new opportunity for a wave of positions. Keep your rhythm and don't be swayed by short-term volatility. ✊

BTC-2.39%

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

19 Likes

Reward
19
7
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

WhaleWatcher

· 12-12 12:48

If Powell adopts a hawkish interest rate cut tonight, we better be mentally prepared; in the short term, there might be a shakeout. Everyone is waiting for QE now, and this is the real key. If BTC surges, don’t rush to sell; a trading opportunity is coming. Reduce your positions first; the medium to long-term logic remains unchanged. A slow bull market is hard to change; it all depends on whether Powell is hawkish or dovish. This rate cut is about signaling, not about how much the cut is. Actually, it's just small waves; the key is waiting for QE to start. The comeback is here; Powell is about to make a strong statement again. Short-term pressure exists, but the long-term outlook remains bullish. News is wildly fluctuating, but the market still needs to continue its slow bull trend. Don’t be killed by emotions; rhythm is the most important. Once the hawkish tone is announced, market sentiment can drop in minutes. Tightening positions is the wise move. After tonight, there will either be a shakeout or an emotional sell-off; it's an old routine. If BTC is going to explode today, it’s a sign of strategic positioning.

View OriginalReply0

MidnightTrader

· 12-11 22:52

If Powell adopts a hawkish stance, our current rebound will have to be re-evaluated, and the short-term outlook is indeed uncertain.

View OriginalReply0

PhantomMiner

· 12-10 10:51

If Powell signals hawkishness tonight, we'll just watch the show. Anyway, it's just a shakeout, and the long-term bull fundamentals are still intact. The real drama is when QE will come—that's the ultimate move.

View OriginalReply0

ApeWithAPlan

· 12-10 10:49

If Powell really turns hawkish, I'll go all-in on short positions. Don't say I didn't warn you.

View OriginalReply0

SurvivorshipBias

· 12-10 10:48

Once hawkish signals appear, retail investors should run away. This wave of market movement was decided long ago; the main players are waiting for the newcomers to take the bait.

View OriginalReply0

RadioShackKnight