#DecemberMarketOutlook #GateSquare 🛎 A careful analysis of three texts: two news messages and my post. Let's see what they have in common, where are the coincidences, and where are the differences. 1️⃣ Main news topics. News 1 (08:42, 10.12.2025 GateNewsBot) 💚 Source: Shannon Saccocci, Neuberger Berman. 💚 The main thing: the Fed will maintain an "accommodative" policy → rates will eventually fall in the second half of next year. 💚 Effect: A rate cut will accelerate the US economy and support risk asset markets (акції, crypto, and other risky інвестиції). 💚 The market expects fluctuations regarding the specific date and magnitude of the decline, but the end result is lower rates and support for the economy.
News 2 (09:31, 10.12.2025 GateNewsBot) Source: IMF and experts. 🩷 Basic: Stablecoins can influence emerging markets through capital outflows, but the scale is limited at this time. 🩷 The stablecoin market is indicated to grow to ~$264 млрд. 🩷 Effect: does not yet pose a systemic risk, but may affect local currency flows. 🩷 Key thought: potential risks of growth of financial flows through stablecoins, but so far they are controlled.
2️⃣ The main theses of my post (09.12.2025, 18:00). I focused on the Fed and rates: rate cuts =→ more liquidity =→ the risk asset market comes to life. Cryptocurrency as a market for risky assets, where BTC leads altcoins.
Strategy: gradual entry into the market, reserve in stablecoins (USDT) as a "safety cushion", careful risk management.
Psychological aspect: calm and discipline are important, do not panic.
3️⃣ What my post and the news have in common: With news 1 (Шеннон Saccochi / ФРС): ✅ The main idea is the same: the Fed's rate cuts → the economy/risk asset markets are coming to life. ✅ I mention cryptocurrency as a market that reacts to rate cuts, which correlates with the "growth potential of risky assets" in the news. ✅ Compliance in the time context: I predicted a movement after the Fed meeting, and the news confirmed accommodative policy and expected rate cuts in the future.
With news 2 (МВФ / стейблкоїни): ✅ The use of stablecoins (USDT) as a reserve tool coincides with the topic of risk control and asset stability. ❌ My post is more about the use of stablecoins for trading and capital security, rather than systemic risks or macroeconomic consequences for emerging markets. I had a different purpose for the post for 09.12.2025. Therefore, the common thing here is rather a technical/strategic (резерв in a stable валюті), rather than a macroeconomic one.
4️⃣ Was my post a prediction? Yes, partially. Because it actually predicted that the Fed's rate cuts would stimulate the market for risky assets, including cryptocurrency. In the news of 10.12.2025, experts confirmed the Fed's accommodative policy and expectations of lower rates next year. That is, my forecast coincided with the main macroeconomic trend reported by the news.
What was not in my post: Details on the timing of the rate cuts (друга halfway through next року). Confirmation from specific analysts (Шеннон Саккочі). The news about the IMF and stablecoin risks for developed markets is more macroeconomic analysis than my trade-strategic point of view.
✅ The conclusion suggests itself. My post was a forecast that was confirmed by the news about the Fed - I correctly felt that rate cuts would stimulate risky assets, in particular crypto. The use of stablecoins as a risk management tool partially coincides with the theme of the IMF, but my vision is more practical and the news is macroeconomic. Bitcoin as a "guide" to altcoins is a strategic/trading aspect that is not covered in the news, but logically aligns with the theme of reviving risky assets. The post is not investment advice. My own research as a crypto enthusiast. Perhaps someone will want to work out their forecasts.
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S_A_N
· 1h ago
Thanks for the information
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ExterminateCultivationAndDrive
· 7h ago
This post is truly inspiring, making me realize that leaving a "meaningful comment" on GateLive is not only about participation but also an excellent opportunity for learning and receiving feedback. I will follow your example by thinking more, asking more questions, and sharing analyses more actively, becoming a proactive member of the community! Congratulations on your award, I will take you as a role model and work towards this goal! Let's learn and grow together on GateLive!🚀
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GateUser-9f9f6c54
· 8h ago
A careful analysis of three texts: two news messages and my post. Let's see what they have in common, where are the coincidences,
#WeeklyHighlightPosts
#DecemberMarketOutlook
#GateSquare
🛎 A careful analysis of three texts: two news messages and my post. Let's see what they have in common, where are the coincidences, and where are the differences.
1️⃣ Main news topics.
News 1 (08:42, 10.12.2025 GateNewsBot)
💚 Source: Shannon Saccocci, Neuberger Berman.
💚 The main thing: the Fed will maintain an "accommodative" policy → rates will eventually fall in the second half of next year.
💚 Effect: A rate cut will accelerate the US economy and support risk asset markets (акції, crypto, and other risky інвестиції).
💚 The market expects fluctuations regarding the specific date and magnitude of the decline, but the end result is lower rates and support for the economy.
News 2 (09:31, 10.12.2025 GateNewsBot)
Source: IMF and experts.
🩷 Basic: Stablecoins can influence emerging markets through capital outflows, but the scale is limited at this time.
🩷 The stablecoin market is indicated to grow to ~$264 млрд.
🩷 Effect: does not yet pose a systemic risk, but may affect local currency flows.
🩷 Key thought: potential risks of growth of financial flows through stablecoins, but so far they are controlled.
2️⃣ The main theses of my post (09.12.2025, 18:00).
I focused on the Fed and rates: rate cuts =→ more liquidity =→ the risk asset market comes to life.
Cryptocurrency as a market for risky assets, where BTC leads altcoins.
Strategy: gradual entry into the market, reserve in stablecoins (USDT) as a "safety cushion", careful risk management.
Psychological aspect: calm and discipline are important, do not panic.
3️⃣ What my post and the news have in common:
With news 1 (Шеннон Saccochi / ФРС):
✅ The main idea is the same: the Fed's rate cuts → the economy/risk asset markets are coming to life.
✅ I mention cryptocurrency as a market that reacts to rate cuts, which correlates with the "growth potential of risky assets" in the news.
✅ Compliance in the time context: I predicted a movement after the Fed meeting, and the news confirmed accommodative policy and expected rate cuts in the future.
With news 2 (МВФ / стейблкоїни):
✅ The use of stablecoins (USDT) as a reserve tool coincides with the topic of risk control and asset stability.
❌ My post is more about the use of stablecoins for trading and capital security, rather than systemic risks or macroeconomic consequences for emerging markets. I had a different purpose for the post for 09.12.2025.
Therefore, the common thing here is rather a technical/strategic (резерв in a stable валюті), rather than a macroeconomic one.
4️⃣ Was my post a prediction?
Yes, partially.
Because it actually predicted that the Fed's rate cuts would stimulate the market for risky assets, including cryptocurrency.
In the news of 10.12.2025, experts confirmed the Fed's accommodative policy and expectations of lower rates next year.
That is, my forecast coincided with the main macroeconomic trend reported by the news.
What was not in my post:
Details on the timing of the rate cuts (друга halfway through next року).
Confirmation from specific analysts (Шеннон Саккочі).
The news about the IMF and stablecoin risks for developed markets is more macroeconomic analysis than my trade-strategic point of view.
✅ The conclusion suggests itself.
My post was a forecast that was confirmed by the news about the Fed - I correctly felt that rate cuts would stimulate risky assets, in particular crypto.
The use of stablecoins as a risk management tool partially coincides with the theme of the IMF, but my vision is more practical and the news is macroeconomic.
Bitcoin as a "guide" to altcoins is a strategic/trading aspect that is not covered in the news, but logically aligns with the theme of reviving risky assets.
The post is not investment advice. My own research as a crypto enthusiast. Perhaps someone will want to work out their forecasts.