Will the New York federal court in three days bring an end to the once algorithmic stablecoin empire?

**Countdown Lock: December 11, 2025**

The U.S. prosecutor bit to death for 12 years and did not let go, the defense lawyer gave him a 5-year suspended sentence, and South Korea still has a 40-year "backup package" waiting for him. But the market has already handed over the volume ahead of schedule - LUNC has soared 168% to 0.0000633 in the past 7 days, and LUNA has doubled to 0.152 in two days, even with USTC up 73% and FTT rubbing 28% of the heat.

Isn't the bad news already digested? Or the false boom before the storm?

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**Three scripts, choose your wallet**

**Script A: Judge Miracle Lightly (5 years or less, probability about 25%)**
It was directly detonated on the day of the verdict. LUNC may go straight to 0.00011-0.00014, LUNA to 0.25, and FTT to $2. The community will regard this as a carnival of "revenge success", and retail investors will be full of FOMO.

**Script B: Moderate landing (7-10 years, 55% probability)**
There was a wave of 20-30% flash crash (LUNC may step back on 0.000045), and the Air Force carnival was counterattacked by the community in less than 24 hours, and it regained above 0.00009 within 48 hours. This kind of "fake fall and real pull" is most suitable for ambushing the party to harvest fluctuations.

**Script C: Top grid re-judgment (12 years full match, probability 20%)**
Within half an hour of the hearing, LUNC may smash back to the 2022 bottom of 0.000035-0.000038. But history tells us that every bad news from Do Kwon is a dip buying signal - whales, burn mechanisms, and die-hard communities will re-top the price within 7 days.

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**It doesn't matter how many years the sentence is, these three things are the lifeblood**

1. **The chain upgrade on December 8 is finalized** (implemented the day after tomorrow)
2. **850 million LUNC burned in a week, with an annualized burn rate of more than 40%**
3. **The community is still frantically raising taxes to tighten supply**

Bad news = maximum benefit? The market has voted with a 168% increase.

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**Speak calmly**

After December 11, regardless of the verdict, LUNC will most likely fall first and then pull. If it really hits 0.000035-0.00004, it may be the last chance to enter from God's perspective this year; if it can last until Christmas, 0.00012-0.00015 is not a dream.

But don't chase high, wait for it to smash down first. The day of the hearing was a game of licking blood - do you dare to take this knife?