#美联储FOMC会议 【Crypto Market’s Big Test Amid Rate Cut Expectations】

The crucial moment arrives tomorrow. Global markets are fixated on the interest rate decision, with the latest trading data showing the probability of a 50-basis-point rate cut has soared to 89.4%—this is no longer suspenseful, but a sign of certainty. Once the floodgates open, how powerful will the liquidity surge be? History gives us the answer.

Looking back, during the last rate cut cycle, Bitcoin skyrocketed over 800% from its bottom; in the 72-hour window around the rate decision, major coins saw volatility exceeding 300%. Now that the stage is set, will the crypto market repeat that kind of performance?

But this time is different. Inflation data remains volatile, the job market is uncertain, and political pressure is mounting in an election year. Is the Fed’s 50-basis-point cut a lifeline or the final stimulus? Behind the 89.4% consensus, could there be a trap—“buy the rumor, sell the news”?

Wall Street’s big institutions have already positioned themselves, and a showdown between bulls and bears is imminent. What’s your view? Do you believe this is the real return of the bull market, or just another bull trap? When the rate cut lands, which coin will you go all in on first? Are those who shouted “bear market’s not over” last month now secretly placing orders?

See you in the comments—let’s check out everyone’s real opinions.