Today I found something pretty interesting—my assessment of $HYPE actually matches that of a certain industry heavyweight: it looks impressive on the surface, but its daily active user data is shockingly poor.
Every time I mention that $ASTER has a chance to surpass HYPE, there’s always someone who counters with “all the whales are flocking to HYPE.” That logic sounds reasonable at first, but if you think about it, it doesn’t really hold up.
Suddenly, I’m reminded of a classic case in the e-commerce sector.
JD.com’s genuine product guarantees and logistics experience are indeed strong—no one denies that. But if we’re talking about market share rankings? Pinduoduo has already surged ahead, and even Taobao has had to take a back seat.
Places where whales congregate may excel in certain aspects, but the true market dominator is always the player who captures the flow of traffic.
A product doesn’t need to be perfect—simple to operate, 1000x leverage, low barriers and high excitement; ASTER’s combo is practically tailor-made for the “all-in” crowd. Although I personally never touch leverage, the crypto market’s voting with their feet makes it obvious: leveraged traders vastly outnumber those of us just holding spot.
Let me give another more straightforward example.
The battle between WeChat and Alipay is quite similar to the dynamic between ASTER and HYPE.
Alipay was created ten years earlier than WeChat, but still lost in the end. Why? At the outset, WeChat directly integrated with the QQ account system. QQ held the traffic gateway, allowing WeChat to seamlessly share the entire user pool. Alipay? It had to build up user numbers slowly from scratch—not even starting from the same line.
In the DEX sector, my top pick is actually $UNI, but I’m also accumulating ASTER.
The obvious reason? I trust a certain leading exchange’s ecosystem capabilities and the long-term value of its governance token.
But the core reason? ASTER is directly embedded into the underlying architecture of a certain chain, with deep integration with the governance token. This setup is fundamentally no different from how WeChat and QQ shared account systems back in the day.
You can question whether ASTER’s DEX positioning is “pure” enough, but you can’t deny one fact: this chain has a user base of 300 million. Even if only 10% are redirected over, that’s still 30 million users.
30 million people—even if every single one is just a “10U warrior”—is more than enough to send ASTER to the moon.
Is ASTER’s price sluggish right now? Completely normal—the broader market is weak and it’s just adjusting alongside $BTC.
Here’s a counterintuitive take: if ASTER were able to rise against the trend while BTC is dropping, I’d actually consider reducing my position—because that would mean it’s decoupled from BTC, which is not a good sign for mainstream coins.
If BTC weakens and ASTER follows, that’s actually a healthy linkage.
When BTC gets going again, ASTER will naturally take off too. $100 per token? That’s just the beginning.
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
13 Likes
Reward
13
7
Repost
Share
Comment
0/400
OnChainDetective
· 12-10 03:30
Wait, I have to look through the on-chain data before talking... The hypothetical number of 30 million people is a bit outrageous, will the real inflow be so high?
View OriginalReply0
GasGasGasBro
· 12-10 01:39
No matter how many whales you stack up, they're not as valuable as traffic. Pinduoduo really tells a great story—got it.
View OriginalReply0
AirdropFreedom
· 12-10 01:36
Is gathering where the whales are always a winning strategy? I don’t think so. The concept of "traffic is king" has already been tested—look at Pinduoduo as a real-life example of overtaking JD.com.
View OriginalReply0
MetaverseLandlord
· 12-10 01:31
Haha, that JD.com vs. Pinduoduo analogy is spot on. Having more whales doesn't necessarily mean winning.
User base is the real king, and I also agree with this logic.
Once BTC rises, ASTER will naturally follow. That's a solid point.
But to be honest, it's getting a bit hard to read starting from 100U. Let's see where the overall market is heading first.
View OriginalReply0
Degen4Breakfast
· 12-10 01:26
Does a bunch of whales really prove anything? Come on, back when Pinduoduo started, there weren’t any whales either, but they still managed to give Alipay a run for its money. When it comes to the traffic-is-king game, this guy is the only one in the industry who truly gets it.
Today I found something pretty interesting—my assessment of $HYPE actually matches that of a certain industry heavyweight: it looks impressive on the surface, but its daily active user data is shockingly poor.
Every time I mention that $ASTER has a chance to surpass HYPE, there’s always someone who counters with “all the whales are flocking to HYPE.” That logic sounds reasonable at first, but if you think about it, it doesn’t really hold up.
Suddenly, I’m reminded of a classic case in the e-commerce sector.
JD.com’s genuine product guarantees and logistics experience are indeed strong—no one denies that. But if we’re talking about market share rankings? Pinduoduo has already surged ahead, and even Taobao has had to take a back seat.
Places where whales congregate may excel in certain aspects, but the true market dominator is always the player who captures the flow of traffic.
A product doesn’t need to be perfect—simple to operate, 1000x leverage, low barriers and high excitement; ASTER’s combo is practically tailor-made for the “all-in” crowd. Although I personally never touch leverage, the crypto market’s voting with their feet makes it obvious: leveraged traders vastly outnumber those of us just holding spot.
Let me give another more straightforward example.
The battle between WeChat and Alipay is quite similar to the dynamic between ASTER and HYPE.
Alipay was created ten years earlier than WeChat, but still lost in the end. Why? At the outset, WeChat directly integrated with the QQ account system. QQ held the traffic gateway, allowing WeChat to seamlessly share the entire user pool. Alipay? It had to build up user numbers slowly from scratch—not even starting from the same line.
In the DEX sector, my top pick is actually $UNI, but I’m also accumulating ASTER.
The obvious reason? I trust a certain leading exchange’s ecosystem capabilities and the long-term value of its governance token.
But the core reason? ASTER is directly embedded into the underlying architecture of a certain chain, with deep integration with the governance token. This setup is fundamentally no different from how WeChat and QQ shared account systems back in the day.
You can question whether ASTER’s DEX positioning is “pure” enough, but you can’t deny one fact: this chain has a user base of 300 million. Even if only 10% are redirected over, that’s still 30 million users.
30 million people—even if every single one is just a “10U warrior”—is more than enough to send ASTER to the moon.
Is ASTER’s price sluggish right now? Completely normal—the broader market is weak and it’s just adjusting alongside $BTC.
Here’s a counterintuitive take: if ASTER were able to rise against the trend while BTC is dropping, I’d actually consider reducing my position—because that would mean it’s decoupled from BTC, which is not a good sign for mainstream coins.
If BTC weakens and ASTER follows, that’s actually a healthy linkage.
When BTC gets going again, ASTER will naturally take off too. $100 per token? That’s just the beginning.