To be honest, a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed this week is pretty much a sure thing. Barclays’ forecast is quite clear: the policy rate will be lowered to the 3.5%-3.75% range. But you know how the Fed operates—while giving you some good news, they’ll definitely insert some hawkish language into the statement. They’ll probably hint at hitting the pause button in January next year to take a breather.
But what about after that? Barclays expects another 25 basis point cut in both March and June next year, with the long-term median rate likely stabilizing at 3%. In other words, rate cuts aren’t a one-off thing; it’s a clear roadmap for continued easing.
For risk assets like BTC, this kind of ongoing dovish expectation is the best kind of fuel. During Powell’s speech on Wednesday, he might use some hawkish wording to create short-term volatility and shake out weak hands, which is perfectly normal. But as long as the price holds the $87,000 support line, any pullback is actually a window to get in. Don’t panic—wait until you see the big picture before taking action.
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
8 Likes
Reward
8
4
Repost
Share
Comment
0/400
UncommonNPC
· 12-10 01:32
Hmm... I've figured out the Fed's playbook: give you a sweetener first, then hit you with the knife. As long as BTC can hold the key 87k level, it'll be fine.
Honestly, Powell is just too slick with his words. On Wednesday, he's definitely going to send out some more hawkish signals and stir things up.
As long as the rate cut roadmap is clear, it's easy to handle. The expectation of continuous liquidity next year won't change—risk assets thrive on this easing atmosphere.
If 87k doesn't break, I'll just chill and wait for the next window of opportunity—no rush anyway.
This rate-cutting cycle is inevitable; it's just a matter of how long you can hold on.
View OriginalReply0
HackerWhoCares
· 12-10 01:25
The Fed is just stabbing us first and then giving a little honey—same old trick. If we can't hold 87,000, we'll just accept the loss; it's no big deal.
View OriginalReply0
CryptoComedian
· 12-10 01:19
Laughing until I cry, Powell is back with his "gentle pig slaughter" again—I've seen right through the rate cut routine.
The rate cuts are real, the pause is real too, but we retail investors can never guess the timing.
If 87,000 can't hold, I'll cry; if it holds, I'll laugh.
Honestly, why do rate cuts always feel like they're digging a pit?
A cut in March and another in June next year—if this wave of liquidity still can't push prices up, I'll start doubting life.
Weak hands are shaken out, and I'm the bag holder. Today's retail investor diary updated.
Powell's wording is even more volatile than BTC. The way this guy talks is truly an art.
View OriginalReply0
MEVSupportGroup
· 12-10 01:10
Is 87,000 support or a trap? Feels like Powell is about to stir things up again.
---
The rate cut roadmap sounds good, but can it really hold up BTC? I have my doubts.
---
When the weak hands get shaken out, that's my time to get in. I'm already prepared.
---
The expectation of consecutive rate cuts is truly bullish, but don't get fooled by short-term volatility.
---
Is this 3% long-term rate really a blessing for the crypto space?
---
The key is still what Powell says on Wednesday and what hints are hidden in the statement. Same old routine.
---
If we can't hold 87,000, all of this is for nothing. Honestly, I'm a bit nervous.
---
The liquidity roadmap is clear now, so it's really time to take action, everyone.
To be honest, a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed this week is pretty much a sure thing. Barclays’ forecast is quite clear: the policy rate will be lowered to the 3.5%-3.75% range. But you know how the Fed operates—while giving you some good news, they’ll definitely insert some hawkish language into the statement. They’ll probably hint at hitting the pause button in January next year to take a breather.
But what about after that? Barclays expects another 25 basis point cut in both March and June next year, with the long-term median rate likely stabilizing at 3%. In other words, rate cuts aren’t a one-off thing; it’s a clear roadmap for continued easing.
For risk assets like BTC, this kind of ongoing dovish expectation is the best kind of fuel. During Powell’s speech on Wednesday, he might use some hawkish wording to create short-term volatility and shake out weak hands, which is perfectly normal. But as long as the price holds the $87,000 support line, any pullback is actually a window to get in. Don’t panic—wait until you see the big picture before taking action.