Rate cuts are just the beginning; the real market movement depends on “Powell’s sentiment”

The main theme of this week’s meeting is simple: a rate cut is almost a certainty, and what the market is waiting for is a signal, not the result itself.

Why?
Because if it’s only about the rate cut itself, the market has already priced it in; what can truly drive a trend is the Fed’s guidance on future monetary policy.

If dovish:
* The market will be convinced that “the easing cycle has begun.”
* Funds will flow back into risk assets, with the crypto market benefiting first.
* Strong-structure altcoins will enter “Christmas rally mode” ahead of time.
If hawkish:
* The market will spike and then pull back; major coins will be more resilient, while altcoins will experience a rollercoaster.
* Sentiment will be dampened, but it won’t turn bearish; more like “rise first, then cool off.”

Trading strategy suggestions:
* Major coins (BTC/ETH): Consider taking small positions in advance, expecting a definite rebound after the decision is announced.
* AI sector, infrastructure sector: If this round of easing begins, these high-beta sectors will be the most flexible.
* Risk control: Rate cut nights are extremely volatile, so setting stop-losses is essential.
In a nutshell:
This time, it’s not about betting on the rate cut itself, but on “whether Powell is in a good mood.” #美联储降息预测