Let’s talk about the current market trend—according to my judgment last week, the sharp drop on Monday was pretty fierce, but the rebound was also quick. Now it’s already Thursday, and the overall rhythm is: fast drop, fast pull-up. Personally, I still lean toward a strong bullish outlook.



About shorting? Honestly, I just can’t bring myself to short Bitcoin below $100,000. It’s not about being stubborn; it’s a matter of risk-reward ratio. How to go long? If you didn’t catch the bottom on Monday, you can continue to buy spot in batches. For futures, focus on the key level of 90,800. Specifically, before the weekend, you can set buy orders in the 90,800–91,500 range, with a stop loss at 90,200. If you get filled, great; if not, just wait patiently for the next opportunity.

As for shorts, I’m only considering two positions for now: you can try a short in the 106,000–108,000 range, and another one near 118,000. Other than that, I think it’s too early to talk about shorting.

Looking at ETH—its movement in the past couple of days has been even stronger than BTC, but when it drops, it’s brutal too. That’s the “altcoin king” for you. Long strategy: keep holding spot, don’t panic. For futures, focus on whether you can get in around 3,060–3,080 over the weekend, with a stop loss at 3,020–3,040. As for shorts, I’d only consider opening one near 3,800—that’s the only short opportunity I’d consider below 4,000. Above 4,000, I won’t touch it, and certainly won’t short near 3,000. Bold statement: after this week, we might never see ETH in the 2,000s again.

Finally, my own positions: I’m holding spot BTC around 98,000, currently at an unrealized loss; ETH around 3,180, basically breaking even now. I’m not touching my spot holdings; currently sitting on the sidelines for futures. The BCH long from 600 has already been closed. I’ll update everyone on specific futures strategies later.
ETH-5.34%
BCH0.22%
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BearMarketSunriservip
· 19h ago
Hey, I'm also waiting at the 90800 position, just worried about getting hit by a flying knife.
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DeepRabbitHolevip
· 12-11 09:48
Haha, Bingzi, this rhythm is indeed fast. The hits are fierce and the pulls are strong, just like you, with a long bullish stance. I'm also waiting for the 90800 level, just worried about missing out. Will we really not see Ethereum in the 2-digit range? That's a bit of a bold statement.
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SadMoneyMeowvip
· 12-09 21:30
It's really hard to nail the 90800 level. I've been waiting for a long time and still didn't get filled.
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PortfolioAlertvip
· 12-09 21:29
90800 is indeed a critical test; if it holds, the gains will be huge.
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LightningClickervip
· 12-09 21:26
Bingzi's moves are indeed fast this time, dumping hard and pumping hard as well. But bro, your risk-reward logic is solid, it's really not a good idea to short below 100,000. Is ETH really never going back to the 2x,xxx range? That's a bold statement—don't blame me if you end up eating your words. Are you still holding that 98,000 BTC position at a floating loss? That's some serious mental fortitude. Let's see how things go after this week; I feel like the pace will keep changing. Waiting for your contract strategy update—don't keep us waiting too long.
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ruggedSoBadLMAOvip
· 12-09 21:24
BTC's rebound this time is indeed fast, but I'm still a bit timid and didn't dare to chase longs at 90800. Wait, are you saying we'll never see ETH in the $2,000 range again? That's a pretty bold statement, haha. I missed the spot bottom-buying opportunity, and now it hurts to watch. You're sitting on quite a floating loss in your position—when do you expect to break even? When will you notify us about contract strategies? I'd like to follow along too.
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WagmiOrRektvip
· 12-09 21:17
BTC drops sharply and rebounds just as sharply, this rhythm is really hard to handle, being long is still more comfortable. ETH under $200 really is gone, your prediction was quite bold, haha. Let's wait and see if it can hold the key level at 90800, I'm also watching from the sidelines.
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