Fed rate cut next week? The market has already voted with its money.



The data on Polymarket is pretty interesting—the probability prediction for a 25 basis point rate cut has shot up to 92%. This isn’t just talk; it’s a consensus built on a real trading volume of $219 million.

This level of capital flow shows that everyone knows what’s up. Of course, predictions are just predictions—the shoe hasn’t dropped yet.

What do you think of this move? Will things really go according to the script? $ZEC $ICP
ZEC-0.81%
ICP-4.55%
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0xLuckboxvip
· 14h ago
92% is really heartbreaking; stacking over 200 million USD makes a difference. But I still think it's a bit uncertain; the Federal Reserve is the best at reverse operations.
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ImpermanentLossFanvip
· 12-11 14:30
92% of the 2.19 billion dollars is not lying about this number
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BuyHighSellLowvip
· 12-11 11:22
$219 million speaks, can 92% of this number fool anyone? Deal done.
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TokenRationEatervip
· 12-10 01:55
2.19 billion thrown in with a 92% probability—this is real money on the line, not just empty talk like before. The shoe hasn't dropped yet, but the money has already been invested. If there's no rate cut this time, the market will crash.
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HalfPositionRunnervip
· 12-09 20:48
$219 million has been bet on this. If they don't cut rates this time, it's going to be awkward, haha.
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CommunityWorkervip
· 12-09 20:43
219 million dollars have already been invested, and a 92% probability isn't just talk. Can the funds lie?
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BearMarketSagevip
· 12-09 20:41
A 92% probability sounds a bit ridiculous. No matter how much capital is piled up this time, it won't change the fact that the Fed will do whatever it wants. This is a gambler's mentality.
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ETHReserveBankvip
· 12-09 20:32
$219 million thrown in, the market is extremely confident. A 92% probability means there's basically no suspense left, just waiting for the Fed's official announcement.
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AirdropGrandpavip
· 12-09 20:28
92% piled up from 219 million, to be honest, it's a bit scary.
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LightningLadyvip
· 12-09 20:26
$219 million speaks—this time there's an 80% chance they can't get away.
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