Today, Ethereum's price action has shown a dangerous signal.
On the surface, it looks strong, but if you carefully analyze the market data, you'll find significant problems.
The core anomaly is just one thing: the price is moving up, but trading volume is shrinking. This is a classic case of price-volume divergence.
The last time ETH experienced this kind of structural divergence, the main players dumped the price by 15%, trapping a large number of buyers at the top. Now, this signal has appeared again.
**Why do I say ETH's rise is “fake” right now?**
ETH's numbers on paper do look impressive: a 24-hour gain of over 8%, rallying from $2,780 all the way above $3,040. At first glance, the candlestick chart looks like the start of a major upward move.
But the key issue is—trading volume hasn't kept up.
Looking at the 15-minute chart: the price hit $3,120, but trading volume shrank by 10%-18% compared to the previous candle.
On the 1-hour chart: the candlestick broke through $3,040, but trading volume was cut in half compared to the previous high.
This isn't bulls gaining strength—it's bulls bluffing.
What does real bullish strength look like?
The answer is simple: the higher the price goes, the greater the volume; the greater the volume, the more unstoppable the momentum; the more unstoppable the momentum, the more confident the big players are to keep pushing the price up.
But ETH's current state is: the higher the price goes, the lower the volume; the lower the volume, the higher the risk; the higher the risk, the more likely it is that the main players will reverse and dump.
**There are only two price levels you really need to watch: 3120 and 3170**
All major volatility will revolve around these two points.
$3,120: This is the bull trap level, specifically used to create fake breakouts. As long as ETH can't hold above $3,120, any upward move is just giving retail investors the illusion that “there's still room to rise.”
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WagmiWarrior
· 12-10 08:38
The shrinkage is really amazing, every time it's this routine, retail investors have learned to be smart
View OriginalReply0
StopLossMaster
· 12-09 20:34
I've heard the divergence between volume and price theory countless times, and every time they say the market is going to dump. But in the end... it still depends on what the main players want to do.
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3120 feels like a trap set up for us. Almost everyone who chased at that point got stuck.
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Bluffing? Why does it feel like it's always so fake, and in the end, there's just some wild pumping...
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Shrinking trading volume? That just shows the main players are controlling the market. Whether they dump or keep pumping next depends on sentiment.
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Same old story. I just want to ask: did the last prediction come true, or did it miss again?
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Dump if 3120 can't hold? I don't think so. This market has played both bull and bear traps.
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Don't just look at the data. In this market, the attitude of the main players is key—trading volume is just on the surface.
View OriginalReply0
NullWhisperer
· 12-09 20:34
volume's been drying up while price keeps pushing... yeah, textbook trap setup. seen this movie before, doesn't end well for the latecomers.
Reply0
MEVSandwich
· 12-09 20:27
I'm all too familiar with this price-volume divergence pattern—I got dumped on like this last time... Is it happening again now? I really should liquidate everything.
View OriginalReply0
StillBuyingTheDip
· 12-09 20:22
Back to the price-volume divergence talk again? Every time people say the market's going to crash, but what happens?
I just want to know how long 3120 can hold this time.
Still the same thing: pushing up on decreasing volume is fake, the logic is solid.
But retail investors will never make money on this move, wake up everyone.
View OriginalReply0
WhaleMistaker
· 12-09 20:20
Rising on low volume? Isn't this just the main players testing how tough retail investors are? When the hammer comes down, everyone will be caught off guard.
Today, Ethereum's price action has shown a dangerous signal.
On the surface, it looks strong, but if you carefully analyze the market data, you'll find significant problems.
The core anomaly is just one thing: the price is moving up, but trading volume is shrinking. This is a classic case of price-volume divergence.
The last time ETH experienced this kind of structural divergence, the main players dumped the price by 15%, trapping a large number of buyers at the top. Now, this signal has appeared again.
**Why do I say ETH's rise is “fake” right now?**
ETH's numbers on paper do look impressive: a 24-hour gain of over 8%, rallying from $2,780 all the way above $3,040. At first glance, the candlestick chart looks like the start of a major upward move.
But the key issue is—trading volume hasn't kept up.
Looking at the 15-minute chart: the price hit $3,120, but trading volume shrank by 10%-18% compared to the previous candle.
On the 1-hour chart: the candlestick broke through $3,040, but trading volume was cut in half compared to the previous high.
This isn't bulls gaining strength—it's bulls bluffing.
What does real bullish strength look like?
The answer is simple: the higher the price goes, the greater the volume; the greater the volume, the more unstoppable the momentum; the more unstoppable the momentum, the more confident the big players are to keep pushing the price up.
But ETH's current state is: the higher the price goes, the lower the volume; the lower the volume, the higher the risk; the higher the risk, the more likely it is that the main players will reverse and dump.
**There are only two price levels you really need to watch: 3120 and 3170**
All major volatility will revolve around these two points.
$3,120: This is the bull trap level, specifically used to create fake breakouts. As long as ETH can't hold above $3,120, any upward move is just giving retail investors the illusion that “there's still room to rise.”