Technical analysis? I stopped looking at that a long time ago. Those candlestick charts are just hindsight analysis—what's the point? Trying to predict price movements is like betting on odds and evens; after a few rounds as the banker, your mindset is completely shot.

Sentiment indicators are even more useless—the combined funds of all retail investors aren’t even a fraction of what a single institution has in its wallet. Let’s not kid ourselves.

Now I only watch one thing: on-chain data. I track how tens of millions or even hundreds of millions of dollars' worth of native tokens are moving. Wherever the whales go, I follow. These big players don’t know me, but they’re definitely smarter than us—they’re not going to dig a pit for themselves, right?

The logic is simple—large withdrawals? I buy in. Large deposits into exchanges? I sell everything. Follow the smart money, and at least you won’t lose too badly.