A prominent figure from a leading exchange just dropped a bold take: the traditional Bitcoin 4-year cycle might be history. Instead, we could be entering what some are calling a "supercycle" – a prolonged bull phase that breaks historical patterns.
This perspective challenges the conventional halving-driven cycle theory that's guided investors for years. If the cycle structure is truly evolving, it could reshape how traders approach position timing and risk management.
Whether this prediction holds remains to be seen, but the conversation itself signals growing confidence in crypto's institutional maturation. Market dynamics are shifting, and old playbooks might need updating.
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
20 Likes
Reward
20
5
Repost
Share
Comment
0/400
ResearchChadButBroke
· 18h ago
Here comes the hype about the cycle theory again, this time the "super cycle"? I've heard too many times.
When the 4-year cycle collapses, they just come up with a new concept, anyway the retail investors don't know.
Institutional entry is just an excuse; frankly, it's still just follow-the-leader speculation.
View OriginalReply0
Tokenomics911
· 12-12 08:33
Super cycle? Sounds good, but I’d rather look at the data first.
If the four-year cycle breaks, it breaks; anyway, my stop-loss orders aren’t even tied to the halving dates.
Institutional involvement has indeed changed the game, but the question is, can retail investors still play?
This argument sounds familiar. Every bull market someone says, "This time is different," but what’s the result?
Instead of waiting for a super cycle, it’s better to first understand your own risk tolerance.
Sounds nice, but ultimately, it still depends on whether on-chain data can be trusted or not.
View OriginalReply0
GateUser-beba108d
· 12-09 17:08
Is the 4-year cycle over? Does that mean all the strategies I learned before were for nothing? Haha
View OriginalReply0
LiquidityHunter
· 12-09 17:06
Supercycle? Just another new concept for hype. I think it's just institutions making excuses for their own holdings.
The four-year cycle is invalid now? We'll see—when the bear market comes, we'll know what's real.
If the old playbook needs to be thrown out, then throw it out. The problem is, who can write a new one?
If things go wrong again this time, what will they say? The cycle’s back from the dead?
Institutionalization ≠ reliable. Don't be fooled by this rhetoric, bro.
View OriginalReply0
GateUser-00be86fc
· 12-09 17:02
Supercycle? Sounds nice, but what I care more about is whether institutions are actually starting to pour in money.
If the 4-year cycle is gone, what are us retail investors supposed to do? No more patterns to follow.
Sounds good, but isn’t it just another way to get us to hold the bag?
Does institutional entry really mean good things are coming? I’m not so sure—don’t want to be the next crop of bag holders.
If historical patterns can change so easily, then all our previous analysis was for nothing.
But I have to admit, this kind of narrative does attract more people to enter the market.
A prominent figure from a leading exchange just dropped a bold take: the traditional Bitcoin 4-year cycle might be history. Instead, we could be entering what some are calling a "supercycle" – a prolonged bull phase that breaks historical patterns.
This perspective challenges the conventional halving-driven cycle theory that's guided investors for years. If the cycle structure is truly evolving, it could reshape how traders approach position timing and risk management.
Whether this prediction holds remains to be seen, but the conversation itself signals growing confidence in crypto's institutional maturation. Market dynamics are shifting, and old playbooks might need updating.