I've been watching SOL's price action lately, and to be honest, it's a bit hard to read. The 4-hour chart shows clear signs of a rebound, but the momentum seems to be lacking a spark—is it going to break above $150 or even challenge the $157 resistance zone? Or will it fizzle out midway and pull back to $138, or even test the support at $128? There's something intriguing beneath the surface of this move.



**Capital Flows Flash a Warning Sign**

Yesterday's data from the US market was pretty striking: Solana spot ETFs saw a net outflow of $32.9 million in a single day. The biggest hit came from 21Shares' product, which alone saw $41.8 million flow out. This scale is clearly not retail behavior; it looks much more like institutional repositioning, or possibly even a strategic retreat. When big money starts moving out, market sentiment often follows.

**Conflicting Technical Signals**

Looking at the 4-hour candlesticks, SOL is indeed in a rebound rhythm. The MACD just formed a golden cross, but the problem is both lines are still hovering below the zero axis. This means the rebound momentum isn't strong—it's a bit like “an arrow at the end of its flight.”

The current price is hovering around 143, and there are several key levels to watch:
- 144 is the immediate dividing line
- 150 is the first hurdle for this rebound
- 157 is a higher-level resistance zone

To the downside, the 138–133 range forms a short-term support band, but true structural support is only solid at 128. The main question now is: will this pullback end mildly, or will it go all the way down to 128 to test the strength of the bottom?

The technical pattern is showing classic tug-of-war between bulls and bears. On one hand, a rebound is taking shape; on the other, capital flows and momentum indicators are sending mixed signals. In the next few days, will the bulls withstand the pressure and break through, or will the bears take advantage and keep shaking out weak hands?
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SignatureLiquidatorvip
· 12-11 00:52
Institutions are running, MACD is still lying on the floor. This rebound feels a bit虚啊 --- 144 not broken, directly probing 128, I bet --- Damn, ETF outflows are so fierce, is it time to run --- Rebound pattern initially appearing but lacking momentum? Basically, no one is willing to buy in --- This 150 level feels like it's going to break down, the bulls are too weak --- The most uncomfortable thing is when the capital side goes against the trend, no matter how beautiful the technical chart is, it's useless --- I'm a bit regretful for not bottoming out at 138; looking now, it's a bit悬 --- MACD golden cross still below zero axis? That's the rhythm of a rebound ending --- The institutional strategic retreat smells very strong, retail investors are still taking the knife --- 157 resistance zone probably can't be broken, bouncing back between 143 and 138
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YieldChaservip
· 12-09 14:30
Look at this institution offloading their holdings, where’s all that good news coming from? --- To put it bluntly, the capital is exiting first, and technical support won't last long. --- If the support at 128 breaks, be careful of the chain reaction that follows. --- The golden cross is there, but with such weak momentum, who dares to catch the falling knife? --- Wait, isn’t this just a fake-out by institutions before they start building positions? --- Honestly, when the MACD is suppressed below the zero line, any rebound is weak—don’t be too optimistic. --- 32.9 million net outflow, that number is a bit scary. --- If the 150 barrier can’t be broken, we’ll have to concede and pull back to 138. --- “The end of a strong bow”—that phrase fits perfectly, the bears are waiting for this.
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RiddleMastervip
· 12-09 14:28
Institutions are really moving out aggressively, this rebound feels so weak. --- MACD golden cross but there's no strength at all, I'm actually even more bearish now. --- If 144 doesn't break, don't even think about 150. --- I haven't understood SOL since the 28th, really can't hold it together anymore. --- Once the funds leave, sentiment collapses. Can this wave break through 157? I don't believe it. --- The "spent force" analogy is perfect, it really does feel like it's running out of steam. --- If you ask me, we should've been looking at that 128 level a long time ago. --- What are they messing around at 143 for, just let it drop. --- ETF outflow of over 40 million and you still want a rebound? Wishful thinking.
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BearMarketBarbervip
· 12-09 14:05
Institutions are dumping, while retail investors are still chasing highs. I've seen this script too many times. --- 150 isn't that easy to break through, with such heavy capital outflows. --- See you at 128, stop fantasizing. --- MACD golden cross? What are you talking about? Still boasting below the zero axis? Wake up. --- Over 30 million flowing out... this is a liquidation move. --- 128 is the real support; all the levels in between are traps. --- Rebound? I think this is just a dead cat bounce, getting ready to dump to 128. --- Let's wait and see, next week will be clearer. Buying in now really takes guts. --- Capital moving out is a clear signal—it's time to run. --- If 144 can't hold, it will keep going down. Don't overthink it.
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